Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Meiling Wang vs Michika Ozeki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2c5ae62a88a38f0e9e76e537daa2111abd658217c57f9b6d5f3e0947e11292e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michika Ozekiof Meiling Wang, Michika Ozeki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Meiling Wang | 75c | 1,012$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.49 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Michika Ozeki | 22c | 663.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.53 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…b9d5backed Meiling Wang | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Meiling Wang | 7c | 543.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Meiling Wang | 2c | 480.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Meiling Wang | 75c | 410.32$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.74 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Michika Ozeki | 28c | 259.34$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.96 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Meiling Wang | 60c | 200$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Michika Ozeki | 23c | 162$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Michika Ozeki | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…691ebacked Meiling Wang | 77c | 129.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed Meiling Wang | 77c | 129.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 65.6%185 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michika Ozeki | 33c | 108.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Meiling Wang | 78c | 90.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Michika Ozeki | 31c | 90.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michika Ozeki | 48c | 87.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Meiling Wang | 61c | 76.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Michika Ozeki | 38c | 70.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed Meiling Wang | 76c | 65.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Michika Ozeki | 29c | 62.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Michika Ozeki | 24c | 55.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Meiling Wang | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Meiling Wang | 75c | 48.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Meiling Wang | 75c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Michika Ozeki | 48c | 43.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Michika Ozeki | 31c | 42.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Michika Ozeki | 46c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Meiling Wang | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Meiling Wang | 75c | 29.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Michika Ozeki | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Michika Ozeki | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.