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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Seattle Redhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saint Mary's Gaelsof Saint Mary's Gaels, Seattle Redhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x163e…dc5bbacked Seattle Redhawks28c20,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60012754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Saint Mary's Gaels62c7,741$4,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,931.4449345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels65c6,250$4,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Saint Mary's Gaels73c5,959$4,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.172,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Redhawks39c5,872$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.765,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels78c5,628$4,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.251,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Saint Mary's Gaels70c4,358$3,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.011,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Saint Mary's Gaels77c3,495$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.8669142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Saint Mary's Gaels71c3,266$2,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.523,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Saint Mary's Gaels66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Seattle Redhawks41c3,027$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.654,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Seattle Redhawks17c2,998$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.411,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Saint Mary's Gaels69c2,356$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.761,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Seattle Redhawks17c2,222$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.742,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Seattle Redhawks43c2,162$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.121,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Seattle Redhawks47c2,148$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Seattle Redhawks30c1,921$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.499848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Seattle Redhawks30c1,854$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.131,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Redhawks30c1,826$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.482,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Saint Mary's Gaels66c1,510$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.071,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Redhawks29c1,209$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.1734943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Seattle Redhawks19c1,115$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1681528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Saint Mary's Gaels79c971.02$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.423,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Redhawks38c957.3$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.874,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Seattle Redhawks21c955.77$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.162,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Saint Mary's Gaels60c889.66$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.186331.7%20 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Saint Mary's Gaels70c554$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6819641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Redhawks41c532$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9677142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked Seattle Redhawks18c531.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7510622.6%24 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6666…ff48backed Seattle Redhawks6c513.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Seattle Redhawks32c474.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Seattle Redhawks18c441.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.551136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Seattle Redhawks36c407$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.184831.3%15 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d48…eca0backed Seattle Redhawks52c386.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7775…b9d5backed Saint Mary's Gaels58c342.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Seattle Redhawks17c299.63$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.592,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Seattle Redhawks38c264.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003145.2%14 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7df…27cdbacked Seattle Redhawks13c259.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.69520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8db…54e8backed Seattle Redhawks42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Saint Mary's Gaels65c234$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Seattle Redhawks18c216.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3992246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Seattle Redhawks22c206.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8593247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Seattle Redhawks16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Seattle Redhawks25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Seattle Redhawks50c199.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7716746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Saint Mary's Gaels73c198.25$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2523363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Saint Mary's Gaels51c172.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.551241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Saint Mary's Gaels58c165.6$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5512045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Redhawks41c156.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.883,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Saint Mary's Gaels66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.528643%37 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecd5…7330backed Saint Mary's Gaels67c150$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Saint Mary's Gaels76c149.6$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.92,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Saint Mary's Gaels68c145.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9622157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83e3…3a12backed Seattle Redhawks11c135.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Seattle Redhawks37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Seattle Redhawks17c133.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3142339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Saint Mary's Gaels66c133.33$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4636942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Saint Mary's Gaels63c111.36$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.741,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Saint Mary's Gaels54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.117746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels63c111.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1110043%43 W · 57 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Saint Mary's Gaels65c100.03$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3571655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Seattle Redhawks24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2414151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Seattle Redhawks18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Seattle Redhawks17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17619.8%6 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Saint Mary's Gaels61c93.03$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8887047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Seattle Redhawks20c91.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.961,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Seattle Redhawks38c91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2333445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Seattle Redhawks16c90.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4637835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f97…eaa2backed Seattle Redhawks18c88.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Saint Mary's Gaels77c84.35$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.41,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Saint Mary's Gaels64c80.25$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.091,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Seattle Redhawks53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.427358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…e88ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…81a9backed Saint Mary's Gaels65c77.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.454257.1%24 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Saint Mary's Gaels55c63.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.562,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1967…0debbacked Saint Mary's Gaels67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.76826.5%18 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked Seattle Redhawks45c59.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.821952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Seattle Redhawks36c57.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.649849%48 W · 50 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x387c…f8d4backed Seattle Redhawks36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-80.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xece0…1754backed Seattle Redhawks46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Saint Mary's Gaels42c49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3312540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeac2…fd78backed Seattle Redhawks50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Saint Mary's Gaels69c39.22$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3418557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed Seattle Redhawks52c38.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Seattle Redhawks31c38.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9270936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Saint Mary's Gaels76c31.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.622953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels57c26.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4417661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc269…ffb8backed Saint Mary's Gaels64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45be…9b55backed Saint Mary's Gaels71c15.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.422792.6%25 W · 2 L+6.9wins+0.25per pick67cpaid+41%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Saint Mary's Gaels79c14.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0510353.4%55 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.