Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67f24f58fad8c05f61876eff29de80abdcb15a92290e858c66baeba2afe74a49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Redhawksof Saint Mary's Gaels, Seattle Redhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 14,502$7,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,043.54 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 9,626$4,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,628.88 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Seattle Redhawks | 53c | 5,942$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.58 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 47c | 5,260$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.17 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 2,899$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.51 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 2,845$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.7 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 2,103$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.54 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Seattle Redhawks | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 45c | 1,732$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.12 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 1,579$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.79 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 1,275$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.23 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 1,020$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.68 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 45c | 468.6$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.87 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 461$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.03 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 451.87$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.64 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…da6dbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 50c | 386$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 45c | 380$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 353.06$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 45c | 204.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 95.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95d…6a82backed Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 92.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Seattle Redhawks | 56c | 86.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 45c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Seattle Redhawks | 53c | 58.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 50c | 40.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Seattle Redhawks | 53c | 38.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 36.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Seattle Redhawks | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5ebbbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-10.5)this page
- Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Seattle RedhawksSaint Mary's Gaels won
- Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 132.5Over won
- Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 133.5Over won
- Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 134.5Over won
- Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 136.5Over won
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-9.5)Seattle Redhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.