Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cluj Napoca: Ilinca Dalina Amariei vs Anja Wildgruber
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89d64f989bdb8073854115c8dcd37ec8613dc5a26d2bf395a9e3c2a1fb8dbe6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilinca Dalina Amarieiof Ilinca Dalina Amariei, Anja Wildgruber
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anja Wildgruber | 6c | 3,165$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…3f5fbacked Anja Wildgruber | 9c | 1,089$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Anja Wildgruber | 9c | 652.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ed…efb4backed Anja Wildgruber | 8c | 504.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb309…06d4backed Anja Wildgruber | 9c | 490$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…96febacked Anja Wildgruber | 9c | 475$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…29a8backed Anja Wildgruber | 8c | 459.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…ba88backed Anja Wildgruber | 8c | 459.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af9…9931backed Anja Wildgruber | 8c | 459.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…2b4dbacked Anja Wildgruber | 8c | 459.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…826fbacked Anja Wildgruber | 8c | 459.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cb…fbe2backed Anja Wildgruber | 8c | 459.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6af1backed Anja Wildgruber | 8c | 459.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae89…274dbacked Anja Wildgruber | 8c | 234.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +300%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a7…33c4backed Anja Wildgruber | 8c | 209.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anja Wildgruber | 46c | 91.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…371dbacked Ilinca Dalina Amariei | 53c | 53.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…61dabacked Ilinca Dalina Amariei | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Ilinca Dalina Amariei | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.