TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes22c5,679$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,417.362,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes24c4,926$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,722.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No69c2,614$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.673,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6c…8ce4backed Yes65c2,445$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.82862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x358c…7042backed Yes23c2,087$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+338.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c2,048$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.591,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No63c1,535$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.245,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No77c1,462$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.7616160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes23c1,211$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.4749136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes24c951.31$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.9675240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c772.97$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.193,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No77c704$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.0819742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No77c608.99$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.861,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c548.52$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.361,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc8…3f38backed Yes22c495.45$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes65c466.08$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.438,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked No75c448.77$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.662060%12 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes67c437.61$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5721538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33cc…22ebbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.781163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5421252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Yes76c382.88$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7711354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No33c379.3$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.416540%26 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…ae3dbacked Yes23c356.52$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.526100%6 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+157.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes71c345$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0523733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe053…fd08backed No77c324.96$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed No77c314.94$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.58858%51 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No78c305.14$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.591,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No28c278.86$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6537540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No13c217$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7150643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes80c206$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.264456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No7c202$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1419437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.435240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No75c198.96$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.722544%11 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No24c176.17$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8351945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes26c166.52$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.028347%39 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ab…144bbacked Yes24c158.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.331233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba28…fa8fbacked Yes22c148.27$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.65944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+46.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No77c132$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6418050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes24c130$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.85949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No34c121.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.121,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No78c109.26$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0216751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Yes28c106$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.322846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No32c100.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1836339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7723253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes22c94.12$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.421,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes23c93.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3115041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes22c90.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.93834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ab…eefdbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.332740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed No78c74.36$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584259.5%25 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No77c73.38$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7542946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes23c73.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1966837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Yes23c70.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.225532.7%18 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed No77c65.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes19c62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2223044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No77c60.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2619349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No33c60.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205632.1%18 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.81,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x834d…0c31backed Yes28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+100.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9299…8f9cbacked Yes22c56.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.32425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked No66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3319053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Yes23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.56850%34 W · 34 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe752…96fbbacked Yes66c46.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.691266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No72c43.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0382434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No78c42.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0526465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes65c42.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8114264.1%91 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No77c39.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.784658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked No78c38.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302785.2%23 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick78cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No34c36.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3712740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No36c36.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.299632.3%31 W · 65 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No76c36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.362,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No30c35.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6185220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7656…fd8fbacked No77c31.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3450…cee8backed No78c30.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.121957.9%11 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb619…49c9backed No77c30.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.536256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8084…abe8backed No78c28.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223187.1%27 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick78cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1040…ac10backed Yes68c26.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.425874.1%43 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.251833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No48c24.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8332139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes65c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.351,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64577.8%35 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No77c18.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0325955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No79c17.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8472058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No78c15.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1395155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No78c14.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.984850%24 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.