South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f7fc596f2a10713595d556cd58bf589c3ddcd485738d8f1d794b746f74e1a17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 3,937$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.3 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,203$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7725backed Yes | 37c | 825.21$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 741.25$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.53 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 41c | 730.83$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.07 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 62c | 725.19$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.04 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 58c | 571.83$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.17 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 75c | 303.51$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 27c | 255.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 204.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 73c | 194.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 73c | 163.38$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 32c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked No | 69c | 132$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 120.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 72c | 118$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 73c | 108$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 24c | 107.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 63c | 99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 58c | 97.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 64c | 95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 32c | 87.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 24c | 75.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 51c | 66.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 53.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 26c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…96fbbacked No | 70c | 50.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 70c | 49.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 74c | 43.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 74c | 31.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 74c | 31.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 41c | 29.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 75c | 22.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-16?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.