South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7c023d77ce263bc8f44d8602d550f5c0496a44ed806906a0dfb5c04f03968cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 20c | 16,790$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,465.62 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 20c | 16,759$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,371.07 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Yes | 25c | 11,906$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,909.57 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 24c | 10,429$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,925.85 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 9,986$7,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,609.66 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 26c | 4,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.99 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 78c | 4,466$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,483.46 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 34c | 4,185$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.97 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 22c | 3,227$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.29 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 2,678$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.24 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 2,521$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 2,097$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.48 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed No | 61c | 1,466$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.89 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 65c | 1,449$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.04 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 1,448$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.21 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.57 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 1,418$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 48c | 1,351$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.89 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 18c | 1,222$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.2 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…52adbacked No | 74c | 1,205$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 76c | 1,131$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.55 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,111$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.13 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 77c | 1,043$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.48 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 1,021$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.07 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 33c | 1,016$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.82 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 73c | 999.98$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.98 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.38 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 50c | 872$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.39 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e75…80ffbacked No | 73c | 863.43$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 23c | 762.17$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.87 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 79c | 761.42$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.22 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 733.35$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.95 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 6c | 697.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…c950backed Yes | 79c | 697.69$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 20c | 687.19$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.21 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 19c | 676$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.26 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…4238backed Yes | 19c | 676$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 34c | 571.95$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.09 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 27c | 469.35$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.63 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed No | 57c | 454.95$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.37 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 51c | 444.27$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.69 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 62c | 433.66$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.81 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 54c | 430.69$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.95 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Yes | 24c | 416.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 43c | 410.4$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.02 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 45c | 378.41$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.42 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 37c | 331.07$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.78 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 76c | 328$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 29c | 318.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.46 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 75c | 318.18$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 51c | 312.8$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.61 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 56c | 311.58$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 65c | 310.71$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 50c | 287$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 276.5$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.61 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 73c | 273.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked Yes | 76c | 263.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 19c | 262.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +93%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 19c | 262.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 24c | 256$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.56 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 20c | 244.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 50c | 235.21$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 219.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.83 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 23c | 217$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.77 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 49c | 212.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 21c | 210$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 24c | 208.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.51 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94d9…bc47backed Yes | 19c | 197.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 22c | 196.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 188.92$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.03 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 48c | 188.48$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 26c | 180.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.14 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 174.69$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.26 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 24c | 172.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 37c | 162.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 158.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 19c | 152.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.18 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 15c | 149.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 32c | 147$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 34c | 140.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Yes | 20c | 137.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 58c | 135$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 15c | 133.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 65c | 118.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 33c | 114.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.48 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 111.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…9fd1backed No | 46c | 110.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Yes | 18c | 106.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7161backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…b74cbacked Yes | 25c | 102.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 102.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.