Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x380d7111640a716bbdfefef9a69ab6542ee458eed75983c010bd2d57b1b39e6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 63c | 6,060$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.92 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 37c | 3,137$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.63 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 58c | 2,361$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.71 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 1,795$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.62 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,110$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.74 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 37c | 725.33$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.39 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 21c | 672.73$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.27 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 506.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 19cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 38c | 427.49$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.46 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 48c | 408.16$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 37c | 348.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.68 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Yes | 38c | 287.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.38 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Yes | 35c | 245.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 31c | 234.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.08 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 71c | 213.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 52c | 199.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 61c | 187.74$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.52 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 79c | 184$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 79c | 158$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes | 33c | 145.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 61c | 122$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 49c | 114.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 32c | 103.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 56c | 103.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 88.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 65c | 88.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed No | 67c | 81.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 36c | 76.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 68.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 71c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 25c | 57.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 40c | 55.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…1035backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 27c | 47.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 76c | 45.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Yes | 36c | 42.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 39c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 78cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…7bd0backed Yes | 79c | 35.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 49c | 33.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 55c | 30.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 28.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Yes | 61c | 26.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 78c | 25.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 61c | 23.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff41…387abacked No | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…30f7backed No | 72c | 17.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 15.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed No | 66c | 15.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 75c | 14.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.