Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11fa216d5e0a4ddb4dc5bc1ab503b7ecf26a7448c32b3da88647d367356a4c43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 2,944$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.3 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 58c | 1,279$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.14 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 54c | 1,211$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.57 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 825.68$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.48 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 73c | 795$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.96 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 729.86$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.05 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yes | 9c | 699.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 47c | 620.46$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.61 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 27c | 379$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.33 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 34c | 278.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2a77backed Yes | 65c | 232.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 227.69$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 71c | 227.08$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 155.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 72c | 134.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked No | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 36c | 126.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 125.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 102.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 40c | 97.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 41c | 89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 44c | 76.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5c…1353backed No | 71c | 67.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes | 29c | 66.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 52c | 61.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…b518backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…b08bbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 46c | 38.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 60c | 36.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 30.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 80c | 30.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 40c | 28.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 73c | 27.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 70c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked Yes | 62c | 17.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 16.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 65c | 15.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-20?Yes won
- Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.