South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf64cf435cc9ff0a764d9c95e7260dbb07e99f70a8e898121939e35486bc161c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 79c | 18,000$14,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780.05 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 22c | 13,864$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.57 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 20c | 8,482$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.23 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 21c | 7,296$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.21 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 3,540$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.35 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 3,496$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.37 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 3,394$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.14 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 19c | 3,125$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 2,943$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 2,237$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.57 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,804$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.54 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 2c | 1,542$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 1,185$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.02 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 961$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.42 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 961$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.42 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 960.55$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.32 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 79c | 949$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.29 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 80c | 888$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 21c | 646.25$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.71 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed No | 80c | 616.16$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3840…93ffbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 420.08$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…a526backed No | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 22c | 374.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 78c | 294.65$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 241.76$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 21c | 238.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 21c | 228.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 7c | 214.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 13c | 189.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 22c | 186.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 22c | 181.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 22c | 159.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 9c | 152.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 22c | 141.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 22c | 124.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 20c | 123.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 21c | 111.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 78c | 100.93$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Yes | 16c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +191.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Yes | 21c | 68.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed Yes | 23c | 62.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 79c | 60.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 22c | 46.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 45.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3b…900fbacked No | 79c | 42.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 79c | 37.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…9481backed Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 79c | 31.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…fd8fbacked No | 79c | 27.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 79c | 24.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 79c | 24.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 79c | 22.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 80c | 16.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 79c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked No | 80c | 15.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6968…447bbacked No | 79c | 13.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-03?this page
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-08-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.