South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aada4f55369bae9c7ad8c82f9f3dbaed4ae7c621d82e9d1895bc5876bffa314
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 1,995$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 28c | 1,876$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.35 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 61c | 1,542$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.04 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed No | 12c | 1,223$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.67 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Yes | 74c | 705.91$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 32c | 610.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.17 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 56c | 449.58$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.79 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 378.52$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.39 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 36c | 252.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 29c | 233.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0368…9874backed No | 36c | 219.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 28c | 217.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 69c | 213.28$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 10c | 203.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 41c | 190.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 34c | 186.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 34c | 123.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed No | 30c | 116.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 71c | 108$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 32c | 101.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 66c | 98.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 60c | 97.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 93.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 39c | 90.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 35c | 83.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 34c | 79.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 50c | 79.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 29c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 28c | 68.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 63c | 61.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 61.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 32c | 59.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 21c | 58.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 78c | 57.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 39c | 54.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 56c | 53.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 42c | 50.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed No | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 45.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 38c | 43.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 45c | 42.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ef…0c0abacked Yes | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 39c | 40.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 45c | 38.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…149abacked Yes | 39c | 37.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 33.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 72c | 31.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed No | 68c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 29.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed Yes | 45c | 28.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 56c | 22.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-08-03?No won
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.