Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ec635b2e1335da1c01002aaa90ed9abe199ccc083f55c69836660f813bac48f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud Risingof Roar Gaming, Cloud Rising
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Cloud Rising | 64c | 3,110$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Roar Gaming | 34c | 2,073$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.24 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Cloud Rising | 48c | 1,994$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.65 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Roar Gaming | 39c | 1,987$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.66 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Roar Gaming | 63c | 1,603$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.32 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Cloud Rising | 64c | 1,444$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.92 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Roar Gaming | 26c | 1,413$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.43 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Cloud Rising | 72c | 1,281$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.46 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Cloud Rising | 38c | 1,250$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.99 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Cloud Rising | 36c | 1,223$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.65 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Cloud Rising | 37c | 1,011$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.24 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Roar Gaming | 49c | 935.73$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.92 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Roar Gaming | 32c | 829$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.28 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Roar Gaming | 60c | 739.51$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.76 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Cloud Rising | 38c | 639.67$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.65 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…6044backed Roar Gaming | 60c | 597$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.09 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Roar Gaming | 63c | 499.96$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.97 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Cloud Rising | 41c | 494.18$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.88 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…3075backed Cloud Rising | 38c | 456.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Roar Gaming | 63c | 446.76$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Roar Gaming | 59c | 418.04$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.62 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Cloud Rising | 39c | 355.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.76 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Cloud Rising | 72c | 328.72$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…8273backed Roar Gaming | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Cloud Rising | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Roar Gaming | 21c | 278.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Roar Gaming | 61c | 260$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Roar Gaming | 52c | 250.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Roar Gaming | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Roar Gaming | 63c | 221.62$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Cloud Rising | 63c | 219.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Cloud Rising | 41c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Roar Gaming | 62c | 192.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Cloud Rising | 47c | 182.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Roar Gaming | 45c | 171.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Roar Gaming | 59c | 168.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Roar Gaming | 61c | 165$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Cloud Rising | 62c | 159.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…77e3backed Cloud Rising | 39c | 156.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Cloud Rising | 44c | 151.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Roar Gaming | 60c | 149.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Cloud Rising | 40c | 137.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Roar Gaming | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…e1d2backed Cloud Rising | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Cloud Rising | 36c | 130$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Roar Gaming | 63c | 122.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Roar Gaming | 17c | 121$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed Roar Gaming | 43c | 111.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Roar Gaming | 45c | 111.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x456e…968bbacked Cloud Rising | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Roar Gaming | 35c | 100.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Roar Gaming | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…e588backed Cloud Rising | 78c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Cloud Rising | 51c | 97.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Roar Gaming | 31c | 93.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Cloud Rising | 43c | 87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3c1abacked Cloud Rising | 57c | 84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Cloud Rising | 37c | 82.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Roar Gaming | 61c | 82.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Cloud Rising | 46c | 82.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Cloud Rising | 69c | 78.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…8c25backed Roar Gaming | 65c | 74.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Cloud Rising | 56c | 71.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Cloud Rising | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Cloud Rising | 66c | 69.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Roar Gaming | 62c | 66.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cloud Rising | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Cloud Rising | 38c | 57.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed Roar Gaming | 61c | 56.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Roar Gaming | 36c | 50.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…59f0backed Roar Gaming | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Roar Gaming | 49c | 48.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked Cloud Rising | 43c | 47.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Cloud Rising | 38c | 44.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cloud Rising | 51c | 40.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Roar Gaming | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 316 | 59.8%189 W · 127 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4e7bbacked Cloud Rising | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Roar Gaming | 37c | 35.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…bf0cbacked Roar Gaming | 39c | 30.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Cloud Rising | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe189…b7f3backed Roar Gaming | 60c | 26.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Cloud Rising | 43c | 26.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Roar Gaming | 57c | 25.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Roar Gaming | 42c | 23.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Roar Gaming | 64c | 22.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Cloud Rising | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsCloud Rising won
- Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising - Game 1 WinnerRoar Gaming won
- Game Handicap: CR (-1.5) vs Roar Gaming (+1.5)Roar Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.