Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7293d8712c79a7273dd40cc703d35a60a4fa5c67ac5d8ae0b9bd8f9387d1c595
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud Risingof Roar Gaming, Cloud Rising
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Cloud Rising | 52c | 6,500$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.87 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Cloud Rising | 51c | 5,127$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Roar Gaming | 29c | 4,656$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.18 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Roar Gaming | 51c | 4,487$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Roar Gaming | 25c | 4,340$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.83 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Cloud Rising | 52c | 2,527$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.14 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Roar Gaming | 58c | 2,490$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.91 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Roar Gaming | 42c | 2,478$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.05 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Roar Gaming | 53c | 2,044$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.37 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Cloud Rising | 77c | 1,550$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.93 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cloud Rising | 63c | 1,513$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.54 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Cloud Rising | 38c | 1,425$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.56 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Roar Gaming | 29c | 1,389$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.38 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cloud Rising | 63c | 1,311$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.57 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Roar Gaming | 50c | 1,273$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.38 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Roar Gaming | 63c | 1,250$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.14 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…6044backed Roar Gaming | 69c | 1,245$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.61 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed Roar Gaming | 65c | 1,210$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Cloud Rising | 33c | 1,176$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.87 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Cloud Rising | 49c | 1,125$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.35 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Cloud Rising | 47c | 1,078$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.47 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed Roar Gaming | 47c | 1,014$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.37 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Roar Gaming | 73c | 1,007$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.15 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Cloud Rising | 53c | 973.45$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…2542backed Roar Gaming | 62c | 940.32$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cloud Rising | 68c | 891.78$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.62 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Cloud Rising | 49c | 883.66$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.86 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Cloud Rising | 19c | 879.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.18 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Roar Gaming | 18c | 879.11$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Roar Gaming | 47c | 851.62$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Roar Gaming | 56c | 848$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.83 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Roar Gaming | 69c | 833.82$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.48 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Cloud Rising | 28c | 818.04$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.43 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Cloud Rising | 33c | 809.21$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.04 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Cloud Rising | 37c | 808.53$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.46 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Cloud Rising | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Cloud Rising | 52c | 769.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.58 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Cloud Rising | 50c | 763.2$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.6 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Roar Gaming | 43c | 763.03$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.77 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Roar Gaming | 62c | 762.92$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.01 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Cloud Rising | 30c | 750$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Roar Gaming | 67c | 747$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.49 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Cloud Rising | 33c | 699.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cloud Rising | 62c | 677.99$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.96 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Cloud Rising | 28c | 663.42$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.57 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Roar Gaming | 80c | 628.21$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.93 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…d64cbacked Cloud Rising | 74c | 604.45$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Cloud Rising | 33c | 599.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.99 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Cloud Rising | 51c | 589.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.35 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9499…d5bbbacked Cloud Rising | 51c | 578.2$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Roar Gaming | 27c | 577.73$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.15 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bac…37e9backed Roar Gaming | 22c | 575.54$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Roar Gaming | 30c | 569.2$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.19 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Cloud Rising | 53c | 568.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.42 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Roar Gaming | 29c | 563.47$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Roar Gaming | 61c | 549.81$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Roar Gaming | 67c | 514.93$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Cloud Rising | 28c | 501.76$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.76 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Cloud Rising | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Roar Gaming | 50c | 499.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Roar Gaming | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Cloud Rising | 48c | 499.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Cloud Rising | 37c | 477$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.51 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Roar Gaming | 22c | 461.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cloud Rising | 24c | 457.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.47 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Roar Gaming | 75c | 451.2$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.04 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Roar Gaming | 70c | 443.44$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.3 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Cloud Rising | 52c | 442.19$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.57 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Cloud Rising | 57c | 439.78$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.41 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…b29fbacked Roar Gaming | 50c | 438$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Cloud Rising | 15c | 436.74$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +76%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Cloud Rising | 31c | 425.12$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.87 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Roar Gaming | 66c | 424$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.27 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cloud Rising | 45c | 420.22$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.33 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Cloud Rising | 33c | 418.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.88 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Cloud Rising | 46c | 418.47$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.97 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Roar Gaming | 50c | 414.75$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.54 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Roar Gaming | 62c | 405.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…3075backed Cloud Rising | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Cloud Rising | 35c | 392.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.79 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Cloud Rising | 53c | 388.79$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.34 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cloud Rising | 42c | 388.03$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.34 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Roar Gaming | 40c | 379.48$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Roar Gaming | 50c | 367.19$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.35 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Cloud Rising | 43c | 358.35$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.3 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Cloud Rising | 39c | 357.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.25 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked Cloud Rising | 30c | 355.19$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Roar Gaming | 46c | 347$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Roar Gaming | 45c | 329$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Cloud Rising | 33c | 322$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Roar Gaming | 73c | 309.46$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.73 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Roar Gaming | 49c | 309.21$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.65 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Cloud Rising | 49c | 309$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.59 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Roar Gaming | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Cloud Rising | 54c | 291.14$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.74 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Roar Gaming | 52c | 274.72$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.89 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Cloud Rising | 35c | 273.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.61 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Roar Gaming | 18c | 272.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Cloud Rising | 49c | 262.52$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…7560backed Roar Gaming | 59c | 260.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising - Game 1 WinnerRoar Gaming won
- Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising - Game 2 WinnerCloud Rising won
- Game Handicap: CR (-1.5) vs Roar Gaming (+1.5)Roar Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.