TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Omega vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Omegaof Omega, ASTRAL
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked ASTRAL46c6,156$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,859.6792456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Omega63c2,504$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.431,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Omega37c2,287$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.965,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Omega70c2,280$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.931,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ASTRAL40c2,271$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.135,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Omega37c2,229$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.992,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Omega62c970.54$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.165,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked ASTRAL64c957.87$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.4655843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Omega41c956.72$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.3938835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba55…41f1backed Omega51c895$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.182142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed ASTRAL64c811.83$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51817948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a8…246dbacked Omega55c723$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.241675%12 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ASTRAL33c719.24$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.242,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ASTRAL9c713$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.912,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x369f…abb5backed ASTRAL64c686.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.683748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Omega56c579.52$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.951,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Omega37c561.65$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.325,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL31c559.1$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.174,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked ASTRAL63c499.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3154353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Omega50c499.4$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.272,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked ASTRAL64c487.2$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.8122645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked ASTRAL33c473.87$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.092,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed ASTRAL64c466.65$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.664953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Omega53c458.18$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6315436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked ASTRAL22c450$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Omega59c388.39$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.727,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Omega58c357.17$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.886,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked ASTRAL31c349.36$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.742,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Omega80c322.9$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.851,04153.1%553 W · 488 L+63.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Omega36c289.23$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.111,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ASTRAL24c282.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.872,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed ASTRAL63c251$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2538848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Omega52c240$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1162,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed ASTRAL50c201.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed ASTRAL13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed ASTRAL62c197.24$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2914051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ASTRAL48c179.25$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.844,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked ASTRAL40c174.27$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9648319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked ASTRAL21c164.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9445538.2%174 W · 281 L-29.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed ASTRAL64c157.48$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7922153.4%118 W · 103 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Omega39c150.16$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.834036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Omega54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked ASTRAL63c149.38$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1123952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed ASTRAL64c146.52$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.773756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Omega60c145.83$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.339247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x108f…ad59backed Omega35c143.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ASTRAL46c131.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.812,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Omega76c131.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0640449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked ASTRAL63c130$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.995642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Omega63c129$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3291743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa941…dc9ebacked ASTRAL64c120.32$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.011442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Omega60c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5764046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Omega52c117$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1619762.9%124 W · 73 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Omega57c110.84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8678043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Omega51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.916829.2%49 W · 119 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked ASTRAL54c107.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.541,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ASTRAL38c100.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.871,89041.9%791 W · 1,099 L-71.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked ASTRAL62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6226246.9%123 W · 139 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Omega35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6540255.2%222 W · 180 L+2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ASTRAL16c96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.363,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed ASTRAL46c92.6$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0139946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed ASTRAL53c92.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4916451.2%84 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked ASTRAL63c79.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.492145.8%422 W · 499 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f56…b78ebacked ASTRAL57c75.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.724447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d0…85e6backed Omega66c69.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.821675%12 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked ASTRAL17c63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9716920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Omega37c63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.453,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x285b…df1ebacked Omega66c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.715247.4%72 W · 80 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ASTRAL33c56.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.494,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Omega75c54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.513760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…6badbacked ASTRAL71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ASTRAL44c49.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.732,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c34…7a99backed ASTRAL64c46.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed ASTRAL56c44.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6729455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Omega61c42.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7123150.6%117 W · 114 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed ASTRAL64c42.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0723158.4%135 W · 96 L-1.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8a…61a1backed Omega56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Omega63c38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.052,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeb4…9854backed ASTRAL63c36.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Omega58c36.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.311,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Omega52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.84156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Omega37c31.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.623652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked ASTRAL64c27.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8633657.1%192 W · 144 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Omega72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.834447.7%21 W · 23 L-8.0wins-0.18per pick66cpaid-26.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked ASTRAL55c20.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.413148.1%63 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Omega71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81,27871.5%914 W · 364 L+3.6wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.