CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e307bae31d20266ad15b25685a6e317d9d9f8803594ec84c9ee347a65fe43d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omegaof Omega, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ASTRAL | 77c | 1,125$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.39 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed ASTRAL | 74c | 960.48$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.13 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ASTRAL | 61c | 874.64$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.4 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Omega | 42c | 505.43$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.55 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Omega | 71c | 470.46$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.83 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Omega | 28c | 464.08$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.27 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ASTRAL | 76c | 450$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Omega | 48c | 408.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Omega | 22c | 362.42$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.13 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed ASTRAL | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.56 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Omega | 20c | 290.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.53 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Omega | 40c | 263.49$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Omega | 17c | 261$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.46 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ASTRAL | 40c | 243$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Omega | 38c | 217.08$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ASTRAL | 32c | 215.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Omega | 51c | 184.83$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ASTRAL | 41c | 173.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed ASTRAL | 45c | 153.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Omega | 51c | 142.31$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed ASTRAL | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Omega | 25c | 115.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Omega | 68c | 108.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked ASTRAL | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ASTRAL | 59c | 98.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Omega | 55c | 67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASTRAL | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Omega | 19c | 61.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Omega | 31c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked ASTRAL | 60c | 22.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ASTRAL | 55c | 19.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group BOmega won
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs ASTRAL - Map 1 WinnerOmega won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.