CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd72ef66c02db08e3998942e73405b08f64e4852e003d4d491a919006421796d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof MOUZ, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $469,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 67c | 34,407$23,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,273.5 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked MOUZ | 34c | 29,721$9,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,981.11 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed MOUZ | 10c | 18,577$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 14c | 12,833$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.75 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed MOUZ | 35c | 10,291$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.35 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ | 34c | 10,201$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.64 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Spirit | 66c | 10,000$6,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.79 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Spirit | 76c | 9,531$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.8 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…a6c3backed Spirit | 68c | 9,412$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 33c | 9,000$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Spirit | 65c | 7,691$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.83 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2322…45c3backed MOUZ | 25c | 7,674$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ | 35c | 7,438$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.12 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Spirit | 73c | 6,739$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.46 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 37c | 6,473$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.37 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed Spirit | 78c | 6,184$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.02 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed MOUZ | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit | 68c | 4,800$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed MOUZ | 33c | 4,550$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.49 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Spirit | 61c | 4,489$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.03 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked MOUZ | 32c | 4,357$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.09 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed MOUZ | 24c | 4,276$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.85 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed MOUZ | 24c | 4,037$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.79 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed MOUZ | 13c | 3,762$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.97 | 84 | 16.7%14 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Spirit | 77c | 3,650$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.36 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed MOUZ | 20c | 3,381$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.74 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…189dbacked Spirit | 65c | 2,700$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ | 32c | 2,311$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.57 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Spirit | 80c | 2,190$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ | 26c | 2,160$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.25 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 37c | 2,010$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.82 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed MOUZ | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked MOUZ | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.97 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ | 15c | 1,816$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.7 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ | 10c | 1,760$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.06 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,750$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ | 24c | 1,705$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.2 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed MOUZ | 32c | 1,700$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.99 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked MOUZ | 7c | 1,668$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…82c1backed Spirit | 60c | 1,600$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…a577backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,468$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.41 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,300$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Spirit | 67c | 1,250$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Spirit | 79c | 1,246$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.54 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Spirit | 77c | 1,234$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.82 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Spirit | 63c | 1,213$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.6 | 653 | 46.9%306 W · 347 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed MOUZ | 19c | 1,200$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ | 37c | 1,200$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.02 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ | 29c | 1,080$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.4 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Spirit | 74c | 1,011$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.91 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked MOUZ | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed MOUZ | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed MOUZ | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Spirit | 63c | 938.75$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.56 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed MOUZ | 23c | 936.26$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.34 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed MOUZ | 18c | 916.69$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed MOUZ | 28c | 900$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.5 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…dc15backed MOUZ | 8c | 900$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 27c | 868.97$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.07 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…2051backed MOUZ | 27c | 802.98$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.71 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Spirit | 70c | 779.31$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.01 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…060abacked Spirit | 63c | 763$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked MOUZ | 33c | 730$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.9 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked MOUZ | 6c | 700$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed MOUZ | 5c | 699.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Spirit | 67c | 699.99$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Spirit | 65c | 690.29$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Spirit | 68c | 667.3$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.54 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ | 10c | 636.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed MOUZ | 8c | 619.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed MOUZ | 19c | 601.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed MOUZ | 36c | 600$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed MOUZ | 39c | 599.97$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed MOUZ | 25c | 528.71$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c58ebacked Spirit | 65c | 506.15$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed MOUZ | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Spirit | 63c | 499.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed MOUZ | 33c | 470.58$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.29 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…59acbacked Spirit | 61c | 469$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.91 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ | 37c | 465.77$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.18 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed MOUZ | 37c | 462.12$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Spirit | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Spirit | 66c | 446.89$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed MOUZ | 23c | 438.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed MOUZ | 24c | 420.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked MOUZ | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked MOUZ | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ | 18c | 390.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked MOUZ | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…6044backed Spirit | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Spirit | 65c | 377.65$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Spirit | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed MOUZ | 5c | 359.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…2dc1backed Spirit | 63c | 345.53$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked MOUZ | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ | 14c | 328.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…f86fbacked Spirit | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed MOUZ | 37c | 326$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.