TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Santos FC win on 2025-12-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00031643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No45c19,788$8,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,904.51625%4 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed Yes57c8,400$4,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.982176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed No45c3,402$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.981450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaaf…25e2backed Yes59c2,856$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.841050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes40c2,611$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.2718129.8%54 W · 127 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c2,492$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.822,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed No45c2,073$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed Yes52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.992045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No45c1,449$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6523148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No50c1,272$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.4663644.7%284 W · 352 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47f1…2638backed No45c1,136$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes58c1,037$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.64847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No46c983.57$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.451,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No7c956.52$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.491,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No35c888.1$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.0749449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No45c864.76$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.4781651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No51c648.98$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.4133251.8%172 W · 160 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c596.69$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.738,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes44c531.82$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8214335.7%51 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No42c512.39$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No13c508.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.518742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3436…17c5backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2011…f296backed Yes55c450$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes59c448$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0323435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No2c410$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1111738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes57c351.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.232222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c320.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.195,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No43c282.25$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.141,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes57c271.84$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.846142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.520065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No45c237$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.819239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdb…4851backed Yes51c227.54$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid-34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed No45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf2…3ef7backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No43c208.02$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.711040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-32.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988842%37 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5e…08adbacked Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No43c175.44$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4416234.6%56 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b6…922fbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No40c149.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6512045.8%55 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3c…a1f7backed Yes56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9513739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No24c112.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2790%0 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2544…6221backed Yes47c109.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.271526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d6e…ece9backed Yes57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92ab…2b99backed Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No32c95.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.579361.3%57 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No61c92.44$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3999259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdd8b…5945backed Yes57c89.47$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…479dbacked Yes57c88.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.11968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes53c86.79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.792941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6211…490cbacked Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes31c83.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.321963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No21c71.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.160%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked No44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.84450%22 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No42c67.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.413062.3%81 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No43c65.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2226659.8%159 W · 107 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No54c62.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.11643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed No42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No69c57.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed No68c53.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed No47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.56549.2%32 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf9…02f5backed Yes78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65fd…5dd3backed Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed No49c41.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed No44c41.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0718433.2%61 W · 123 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked No57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No41c38.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5312562.4%78 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c13…a814backed Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf5e…5964backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x844b…2580backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.910055%55 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked No49c33.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.582445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0515158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No51c31.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.35437%20 W · 34 L-10.4wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-46%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes43c30.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3810826.9%29 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes50c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.532936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes58c28.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.797360.3%44 W · 29 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.323450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes53c26.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac3…2ab9backed Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x976c…7634backed Yes59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.23100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd960…6d58backed Yes56c19.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda25…abafbacked Yes59c17.1$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.015867.2%39 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.