Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7a763c52024fe48c90c4e746d6c72c4de545045c9c8df4219679b7ec1cc54ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 48c | 1,675$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.15 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 41c | 784.3$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.09 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…99dabacked Yes | 64c | 614.95$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 50c | 542.66$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.87 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 538.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 60c | 382.84$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.35 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 50c | 352.59$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.3 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Yes | 18c | 259$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Yes | 48c | 183.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6ef4backed Yes | 64c | 172.41$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 28c | 127.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…e41cbacked Yes | 56c | 125.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 30c | 92.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…12e2backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed Yes | 42c | 53.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed Yes | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-21?Yes won
- Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2025-11-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.