Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Towson Tigers vs. Liberty Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c2067c2f986fb06a7044b933f822375fa0cd901757e9343c8f583fc2187693e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Towson Tigersof Towson Tigers, Liberty Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Towson Tigers | 30c | 1,250$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Liberty Flames | 70c | 1,180$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Towson Tigers | 49c | 511.28$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Liberty Flames | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed Liberty Flames | 70c | 155.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liberty Flames | 67c | 145.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Liberty Flames | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Towson Tigers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Towson Tigers | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Liberty Flames | 36c | 69.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed Liberty Flames | 73c | 68.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Liberty Flames | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Liberty Flames | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.