Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bucknell Bison vs. Buffalo Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc20674104ba507dbb4cfca9e68874654595de491cc437de07d91e5771a721ff1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buffalo Bullsof Bucknell Bison, Buffalo Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucknell Bison | 44c | 2,035$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.01 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Buffalo Bulls | 43c | 1,852$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.89 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Buffalo Bulls | 66c | 1,517$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Buffalo Bulls | 68c | 737.5$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Bucknell Bison | 32c | 523.03$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.15 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucknell Bison | 32c | 331.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Buffalo Bulls | 31c | 208.91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.78 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Bucknell Bison | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499d…65ecbacked Bucknell Bison | 11c | 109.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bucknell Bison | 26c | 98.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Buffalo Bulls | 67c | 88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Bucknell Bison | 33c | 88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed Buffalo Bulls | 77c | 84.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…81a9backed Buffalo Bulls | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Buffalo Bulls | 67c | 60.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed Buffalo Bulls | 40c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe0…5c06backed Buffalo Bulls | 75c | 37.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Buffalo Bulls | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc7…b89bbacked Buffalo Bulls | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Buffalo Bulls | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bucknell Bison | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Buffalo Bulls | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Buffalo Bulls | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Bucknell Bison | 76c | 16.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucknell Bison vs. Buffalo Bullsthis page
- Bucknell Bison vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.