TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40031643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No54c7,859$4,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,243.667572%54 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Yes74c3,634$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.021637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c3,503$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.225,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No32c3,204$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.88,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No48c2,507$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.861,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No33c2,298$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.6633251.8%172 W · 160 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0407552%39 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No49c1,282$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.491,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No35c1,241$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.3263644.7%284 W · 352 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b9d…15c0backed Yes46c1,002$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.75616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-64%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc780…19d1backed Yes71c914.92$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3311140.5%45 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes47c716$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.489752.6%51 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8052…cd55backed Yes45c678$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No38c647.62$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.922,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.247619.7%15 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No54c598.01$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9211245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x101e…eaf4backed Yes48c596.66$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.661136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0759…f407backed Yes53c554.35$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No27c496.15$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.451,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No54c459.38$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.887739%30 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes45c451.96$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.563033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No54c424.63$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.235653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes73c410.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.661546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes50c402.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.924242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No52c388.03$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.381651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf84…2d2dbacked Yes49c367.14$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.24540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes71c300$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes68c279$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.288547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No54c260.06$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6526659.8%159 W · 107 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3914446.5%67 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10839853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked No54c199.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.997540%30 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes46c192.49$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No32c174.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4712045.8%55 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No50c168$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410054%54 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes75c156.23$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5240442.1%170 W · 234 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes67c137$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick73cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked No29c117.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.66927.5%19 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.382556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcdea…c050backed Yes47c105.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.796346%29 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dea…1f52backed Yes46c105.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc75c…86d0backed Yes45c101.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.734949%24 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes44c99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4432936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Yes49c93.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.885846.6%27 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f16…2d56backed No56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3351654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b4…9f6fbacked Yes70c68.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3304…7048backed Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.49666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x48fd…9450backed Yes49c67.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.35966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No48c64.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7413821%29 W · 109 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe991…3ef5backed Yes50c60.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…a286backed Yes47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0277…0677backed No30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+115.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes44c49.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.94450%22 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaef…1b1abacked Yes45c48.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes43c46.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4116234.6%56 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea0a…21a8backed Yes47c46.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+56.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3875…e1ebbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce04…9496backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe096…9779backed Yes69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8615158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdea9…be41backed Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.554645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b90…710fbacked Yes47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0cb…1298backed Yes69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.44100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+144%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8c9…b445backed No51c38.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d1e…3ef3backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.464100%4 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+182.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8249…01a8backed Yes69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68b1…01e4backed Yes48c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…7d17backed Yes47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes49c26.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.742623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-59%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5903…bc30backed Yes46c23.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…7e6cbacked Yes52c23.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.351172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d3…432abacked No54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82871.4%20 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca9…b9a8backed No54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8f…b038backed No54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No55c18.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1812464.5%80 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a3…1701backed Yes70c17.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7eb…a668backed Yes73c16.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.441963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe424…0d1abacked Yes77c15.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.