MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c28d7cc57011e1681ffa9f6e684c267a3df319c5864a9629f517abaa98d6efc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Baltimore Orioles, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 57,381$24,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,673.79 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 46,623$26,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,729.28 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 27,258$9,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,606.42 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.99 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 18,888$10,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,121.84 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 17,285$9,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,464.64 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 13,636$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 10,373$6,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,356.82 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 8,710$3,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,745.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…a12dbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 8,412$4,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,535.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 7,096$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.3 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 5,644$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.84 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 4,652$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.36 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 4,443$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.05 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.98 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 3,586$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 3,432$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.76 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 3,126$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.26 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 3,023$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 3,010$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 2,710$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.39 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 2,700$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,478$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.62 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 2,420$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.4 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 2,333$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.28 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 2,219$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.49 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 2,070$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.22 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 2,049$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.22 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,000$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.56 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 1,971$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.22 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…724abacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 1,692$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,563$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.09 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,563$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.09 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 1,507$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,500$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.98 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 1,468$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.74 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 76c | 1,189$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,127$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.33 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,115$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,050$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.5 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 1,044$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.56 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 974.75$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.39 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 964.91$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.91 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 923.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 816.18$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.88 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 800.94$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.03 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 772.77$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.66 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 772.38$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.57 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 752.27$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 746.13$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.9 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e1…cfdfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 709$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 697.54$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.94 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 691.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb12…70a7backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 672.45$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 591$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.13 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 518.4$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.36 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 510.39$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.36 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 505$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.15 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79d8…da40backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 492.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 469$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.67 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 464.97$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.24 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 462$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.66 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 453$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…bf18backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 431.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.56 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 421.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 383.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 369.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 368.42$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…293fbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 299.97$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 282.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 280.61$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 280$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 278.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 265$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 263.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…0bf3backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 243.16$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c02…b65fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 225$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 223.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa788…f6e8backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 223$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 13.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-8.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.