Euroleague · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. Joventut
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54d870da0677abb4b3f791c38f6bce1aeefde6c37a1f6bc147b9693baaaf3a5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joventutof Real Madrid, Joventut
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Joventut | 16c | 10,869$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,173.07 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Joventut | 33c | 4,243$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Real Madrid | 76c | 4,202$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joventut | 24c | 3,963$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.32 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Real Madrid | 74c | 3,211$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Joventut | 26c | 2,062$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.85 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Joventut | 24c | 1,910$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Joventut | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +71%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Joventut | 26c | 1,371$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.95 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…78adbacked Real Madrid | 79c | 1,300$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Joventut | 22c | 1,102$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.56 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…f78abacked Joventut | 24c | 699.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +311.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Real Madrid | 75c | 663.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Real Madrid | 71c | 625.78$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.28 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Joventut | 24c | 564.57$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.21 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Joventut | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joventut | 22c | 495$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.2 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Joventut | 27c | 489.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.3 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Real Madrid | 67c | 483$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.61 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Real Madrid | 54c | 344.9$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Real Madrid | 54c | 339.22$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Real Madrid | 29c | 332.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…c3e4backed Joventut | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Joventut | 21c | 264.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.75 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Joventut | 22c | 256.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Joventut | 32c | 240.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Joventut | 24c | 215$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…9f8fbacked Joventut | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Joventut | 24c | 186.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joventut | 54c | 178.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Joventut | 31c | 170$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Real Madrid | 76c | 153.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Joventut | 25c | 142.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Joventut | 17c | 141$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Real Madrid | 71c | 137.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dad…c169backed Joventut | 25c | 135$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Joventut | 15c | 133$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Real Madrid | 78c | 128.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Joventut | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Joventut | 22c | 116.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Joventut | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…63eabacked Real Madrid | 74c | 110$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…0e3cbacked Joventut | 27c | 110$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…9f74backed Real Madrid | 74c | 107.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Joventut | 24c | 106.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Real Madrid | 78c | 102.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Real Madrid | 78c | 102$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb6…8b23backed Real Madrid | 76c | 100.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Real Madrid | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed Real Madrid | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Joventut | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b7d8backed Real Madrid | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…2077backed Real Madrid | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…9982backed Real Madrid | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Joventut | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Joventut | 25c | 97.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Joventut | 24c | 91.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…199bbacked Joventut | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Joventut | 20c | 81.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…afb1backed Real Madrid | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Joventut | 25c | 73.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Real Madrid | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Real Madrid | 76c | 61.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945b…27c7backed Real Madrid | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…9a7fbacked Real Madrid | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Real Madrid | 72c | 59.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa8…f8b9backed Real Madrid | 76c | 58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…6918backed Joventut | 24c | 55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +315.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Joventut | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Joventut | 24c | 46.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f76…1688backed Joventut | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…750cbacked Real Madrid | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked Real Madrid | 76c | 39.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Real Madrid | 76c | 25.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Real Madrid | 78c | 25.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba22…4333backed Real Madrid | 72c | 23.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Real Madrid | 77c | 18.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Real Madrid | 76c | 18.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…8c33backed Real Madrid | 74c | 15.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Real Madrid | 74c | 13.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.