Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43d636eb6b243bacc7a17541a54d586be6b7528e35146742f5922959560cbee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 35c | 12,856$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,490.4 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 64c | 10,000$6,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,578.47 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 65c | 3,150$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.5 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 60c | 2,097$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.88 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Over | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 324 | 57.7%187 W · 137 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 65c | 999.99$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Under | 65c | 750$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 64c | 599.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Over | 40c | 563.35$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Under | 65c | 562$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…0753backed Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 248 | 48.4%120 W · 128 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…a4e0backed Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 36c | 498.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.62 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Under | 31c | 476.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.56 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 63c | 427.23$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 369.2$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.29 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 313.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c07…08c5backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 68c | 257.75$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.27 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 36c | 251.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Over | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +122%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 63c | 209.65$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 647 | 53.9%349 W · 298 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…9475backed Under | 64c | 179.33$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 57c | 145.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 30c | 133.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 70c | 100.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Under | 63c | 76.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 39c | 64.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked Over | 43c | 57.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 38c | 53.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…52ddbacked Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 424 | 48.8%207 W · 217 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under | 64c | 44.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Over | 40c | 37.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 61c | 32.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 795 | 45.3%360 W · 435 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…7f7dbacked Over | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 37c | 28.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…139cbacked Under | 63c | 27.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…6269backed Under | 67c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.