Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45a68d7baefc88bed7798039725881074d9d4d869ff1fddf47e1c5895726de43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.3 | 926 | 54%500 W · 426 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 35c | 2,713$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.65 | 1,145 | 30.7%352 W · 793 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 1,556$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.87 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 50c | 1,202$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.35 | 1,018 | 47.7%486 W · 532 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 50c | 904$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452 | 599 | 48.2%289 W · 310 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | +13.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 915 | 37.5%343 W · 572 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 55c | 554.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.74 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 43c | 396.02$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.29 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 31c | 344.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 1,421 | 43.7%621 W · 800 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Over | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +122%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 55c | 206.79$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Over | 35c | 161.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Under | 57c | 149.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 290 | 43.1%125 W · 165 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 57c | 131.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 1,640 | 43.8%719 W · 921 L | -75.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 50c | 130.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 107.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 2,574 | 39.7%1,021 W · 1,553 L | -81.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 196 | 61.2%120 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 45c | 80.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1,102 | 52.3%576 W · 526 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 53c | 54.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 499 | 47.1%235 W · 264 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…f916backed Over | 45c | 51.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Over | 44c | 51.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…5693backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c4…b52dbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 37c | 36.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 55c | 33.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0b…0913backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 579 | 56%324 W · 255 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 62c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Under | 55c | 28.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…c310backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,217 | 43.5%529 W · 688 L | -15.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)Kiwoom DRX won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Kiwoom DRX won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 WinnerKiwoom DRX won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerKiwoom DRX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.