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Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kiwoom DRXof Kiwoom DRX, DN SOOPers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$283,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40ea…832fbacked Kiwoom DRX44c79,953$35,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,876.9720339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed DN SOOPers56c29,547$16,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,546.491,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed DN SOOPers56c20,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,20054353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbbf…388ebacked DN SOOPers0c12,012$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.847554.7%41 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked DN SOOPers57c11,831$6,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,707.1214549.7%72 W · 73 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed DN SOOPers56c5,192$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,921.3959854.2%324 W · 274 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed DN SOOPers55c4,800$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.967958.2%46 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed DN SOOPers56c3,509$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.96246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kiwoom DRX60c2,974$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.412,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked DN SOOPers56c2,679$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008047.5%38 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked DN SOOPers56c2,240$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.1621754.8%119 W · 98 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed DN SOOPers56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9985746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked DN SOOPers61c1,700$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03735353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed DN SOOPers40c1,484$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.41,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58e3…c540backed Kiwoom DRX39c1,439$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.6815146.4%70 W · 81 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1788…0994backed DN SOOPers56c1,348$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.991861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Kiwoom DRX44c1,221$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.761,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed DN SOOPers39c1,221$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.151044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed DN SOOPers56c1,155$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.722,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Kiwoom DRX41c1,143$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.7278549.9%392 W · 393 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed DN SOOPers59c1,120$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.8686144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked DN SOOPers37c1,020$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.961,14330.8%352 W · 791 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Kiwoom DRX45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked Kiwoom DRX63c999.97$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9922059.5%131 W · 89 L+14.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked DN SOOPers55c999.95$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9732457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Kiwoom DRX62c980.96$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.7635054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Kiwoom DRX42c947.64$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.482954.5%452 W · 377 L+3.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Kiwoom DRX45c888$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.414352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1def…2e16backed Kiwoom DRX45c665.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked DN SOOPers56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33648243.2%208 W · 274 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Kiwoom DRX40c541.69$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.7152344.9%235 W · 288 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed DN SOOPers56c538.61$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.627558.7%44 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4b…4a75backed Kiwoom DRX62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1908751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd4…5aaebacked DN SOOPers56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.996756.7%38 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed DN SOOPers56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9911547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed DN SOOPers67c422.64$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.496254.3%522 W · 440 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Kiwoom DRX45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201,26542.8%541 W · 724 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed DN SOOPers56c378.67$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.062,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed Kiwoom DRX67c333.47$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2415956%89 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe49d…c3dbbacked Kiwoom DRX45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3363547.9%304 W · 331 L-16.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Kiwoom DRX45c332.57$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.9124656.1%138 W · 108 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Kiwoom DRX32c322.64$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.412840.6%52 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Kiwoom DRX41c241.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4721946.6%102 W · 117 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Kiwoom DRX55c231.03$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9132755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed Kiwoom DRX45c223.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5818849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed DN SOOPers56c222.54$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6249461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Kiwoom DRX45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.228440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3e1…5683backed Kiwoom DRX45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2211160.4%67 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed DN SOOPers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Kiwoom DRX45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51,45613.2%192 W · 1,264 L-111.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Kiwoom DRX45c144.44$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4481333%268 W · 545 L-43.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed DN SOOPers56c133.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7536047.5%171 W · 189 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Kiwoom DRX45c131.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5947630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Kiwoom DRX44c129.47$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0464435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Kiwoom DRX42c126.66$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.461,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked DN SOOPers56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e83…a620backed DN SOOPers59c119.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.626253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6cc…5421backed DN SOOPers37c118.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Kiwoom DRX63c117.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.821,18166%780 W · 401 L+70.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Kiwoom DRX45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1111762.4%73 W · 44 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed DN SOOPers56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5668063.4%431 W · 249 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed DN SOOPers56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x429c…a974backed DN SOOPers56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5616754.5%91 W · 76 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed DN SOOPers55c99.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9960849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked DN SOOPers56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5076246.9%357 W · 405 L+2.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Kiwoom DRX44c82.48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8629948.8%146 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed Kiwoom DRX45c79.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.913352.6%70 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Kiwoom DRX45c76.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8939755.4%220 W · 177 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Kiwoom DRX37c71.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1541343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe45e…b135backed Kiwoom DRX45c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.58237.8%31 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d1…371bbacked DN SOOPers56c69.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0616853%89 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed DN SOOPers58c64.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1218952.9%100 W · 89 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked DN SOOPers37c62.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2467552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked DN SOOPers54c59.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.651,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Kiwoom DRX45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.569553.7%51 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6dd…238bbacked Kiwoom DRX60c55.05$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0522840.8%93 W · 135 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Kiwoom DRX45c54.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.724450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Kiwoom DRX44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2810657.5%61 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e2…68f1backed Kiwoom DRX45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521256.1%119 W · 93 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed DN SOOPers56c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4445244.5%201 W · 251 L-30.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked DN SOOPers55c48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.450456%282 W · 222 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Kiwoom DRX43c47.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.381747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ffc…a5b7backed Kiwoom DRX46c46.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.953342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0637…1636backed Kiwoom DRX45c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.759752.6%51 W · 46 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed DN SOOPers37c43.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0975150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed DN SOOPers37c40.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532753.5%175 W · 152 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked Kiwoom DRX45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.121859.2%129 W · 89 L+26.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfbbb…5693backed Kiwoom DRX44c38.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.774337.2%16 W · 27 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x16bf…07e5backed DN SOOPers56c37.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.031266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb52b…9646backed DN SOOPers68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eda…fb8ebacked Kiwoom DRX45c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed DN SOOPers56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2057655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed DN SOOPers59c35.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6926154.8%143 W · 118 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed DN SOOPers53c29.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.411,57748.4%764 W · 813 L+17.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked DN SOOPers56c25.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1836244.2%160 W · 202 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6392…52ddbacked Kiwoom DRX45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7542448.8%207 W · 217 L+16.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a46…fdf3backed DN SOOPers56c22.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65367.9%36 W · 17 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ca3…9c4abacked DN SOOPers56c22.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76d4…c512backed DN SOOPers54c18.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.044926.5%13 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-55.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1ce6…799abacked Kiwoom DRX62c17.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.632560%15 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.