WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9c42fbe61d5f02041b2579fd4a91d125efbdbc7e1b81146b5cb5e9e18706a68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Over | 54c | 12,756$6,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,895.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 12,256$5,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,637.62 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 5,850$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.03 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 4,634$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.63 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 4,163$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.89 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 2,380$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.67 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 53c | 2,327$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 2,073$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.5 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 57c | 1,888$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.35 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…6b66backed Over | 55c | 1,886$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 54c | 1,438$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Over | 54c | 824.07$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.07 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 699.83$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.91 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 62c | 644.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.19 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 55c | 538.44$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.3 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 46c | 528.47$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 13c | 507.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 59c | 447.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.56 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Over | 54c | 422$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Under | 28c | 371$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under | 4c | 337.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 69c | 313.43$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Under | 32c | 251.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 40c | 205.56$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 71c | 184.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 54c | 137.22$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Under | 10c | 116.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 44c | 116.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Under | 33c | 98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 43c | 93.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 64c | 62.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Under | 26c | 54.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked Under | 49c | 44.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…f4f7backed Over | 58c | 43.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 48c | 38.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…bd8ebacked Over | 80c | 36.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 60c | 36.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 63c | 31.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc1…557ebacked Over | 54c | 30.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc4…1cfabacked Over | 55c | 30.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…cc7ebacked Over | 55c | 29.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…88afbacked Over | 55c | 29.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4788…6bc3backed Over | 69c | 29.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…27c2backed Over | 55c | 28.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…9920backed Over | 55c | 25.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8878…9eeabacked Over | 55c | 24.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a85…9343backed Over | 55c | 24.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1f…cebdbacked Over | 58c | 24.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…74dfbacked Over | 55c | 24.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…c79bbacked Over | 58c | 23.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…1655backed Over | 58c | 23.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…44ccbacked Over | 80c | 23.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdb…6daebacked Over | 55c | 22.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…3e5fbacked Over | 55c | 22.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…e22abacked Over | 55c | 22.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…6d10backed Over | 55c | 21.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…b00bbacked Over | 55c | 21.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb61…610ebacked Over | 79c | 21.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 54c | 18.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…5a21backed Over | 79c | 18.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…d0f9backed Over | 80c | 17.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517f…1b0ebacked Over | 75c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 162.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 163.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 164.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.