WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa42d67f8da3e86a8cda9e81d8771de828f3c75b72914b5a577a94ef35ba0b463
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 45c | 658.62$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.72 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 50c | 644$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…f4f7backed Under | 47c | 575.1$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 55c | 545.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Over | 50c | 376.4$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 14c | 257.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 53c | 199.96$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 54c | 195.63$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 194.05$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 41c | 153.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 50c | 152.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 27c | 112.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 46c | 111.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 109$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Over | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 63c | 78.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 55c | 48.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 50c | 46.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 54c | 44.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Over | 46c | 42.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 43c | 40.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Over | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 44c | 24.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6198…9487backed Under | 74c | 22.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 22.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 61c | 21.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc749…2afabacked Under | 74c | 20.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd04…122dbacked Under | 74c | 20.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Under | 61c | 20.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 65c | 18.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…7df4backed Over | 67c | 16.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…1499backed Under | 75c | 15.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400c…db6fbacked Under | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 162.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 163.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 164.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.