TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Golden State Valkyries
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,607
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,607 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7634…600dbacked Minnesota Lynx55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.9916152.2%84 W · 77 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Golden State Valkyries45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5003444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden State Valkyries45c9,056$4,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,075.1114450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Lynx55c6,443$3,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,897.9623245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Golden State Valkyries44c5,925$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,635.5310151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Minnesota Lynx56c3,126$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.9432049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Valkyries47c2,152$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.5385158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Minnesota Lynx55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.923053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Minnesota Lynx56c1,873$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.519651%49 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries44c1,826$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.391,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Golden State Valkyries48c1,358$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.940550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries46c1,075$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.581,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Minnesota Lynx57c1,059$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.9722967.7%155 W · 74 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Golden State Valkyries45c1,012$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.329554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Minnesota Lynx55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.099047.8%43 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Golden State Valkyries20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Minnesota Lynx55c993.02$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Golden State Valkyries44c988.66$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.0114353.8%77 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Golden State Valkyries45c815.99$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.193342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Golden State Valkyries44c811.36$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35722748.5%110 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Minnesota Lynx56c734.81$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.816051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Golden State Valkyries45c666.66$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010144.6%45 W · 56 L-13.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Lynx58c546$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.936851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Golden State Valkyries49c519.8$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.714452.8%76 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Golden State Valkyries43c408$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.321150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries45c404.34$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4492248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Golden State Valkyries44c401.15$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.1711253.6%60 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Golden State Valkyries44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Golden State Valkyries16c351.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4631043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Golden State Valkyries45c328.2$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.696835.3%24 W · 44 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Minnesota Lynx69c303.14$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1410858.3%63 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c30…34f5backed Golden State Valkyries73c241$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.592965.5%19 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Golden State Valkyries45c240$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.416745.5%76 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b9…f392backed Minnesota Lynx57c228.42$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.42683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+56.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3105…2e7ebacked Minnesota Lynx51c225.67$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.632045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Valkyries49c222.65$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0299548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Golden State Valkyries43c208.42$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6211250%56 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Golden State Valkyries11c201.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.797431.1%23 W · 51 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd47f…169bbacked Minnesota Lynx78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Golden State Valkyries25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Golden State Valkyries52c194.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4538744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Golden State Valkyries44c194.85$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.185042%21 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Minnesota Lynx55c182.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1114948.3%72 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Golden State Valkyries45c176.16$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.135444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Minnesota Lynx54c161.59$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Golden State Valkyries45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010345.6%47 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…01b4backed Golden State Valkyries45c146.67$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Golden State Valkyries45c139.88$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.259651%49 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Golden State Valkyries45c138.13$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.554852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Golden State Valkyries47c136.47$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.142955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Golden State Valkyries44c124.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1113649.3%67 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Golden State Valkyries49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.829654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Golden State Valkyries45c104.84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0361042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…2147backed Golden State Valkyries45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Minnesota Lynx51c98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2623644.9%106 W · 130 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Golden State Valkyries44c96.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Golden State Valkyries53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5520947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2294…94cdbacked Minnesota Lynx56c89.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Golden State Valkyries59c81.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.552055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Minnesota Lynx54c76.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6413143.5%57 W · 74 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Minnesota Lynx55c74.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.377750.6%39 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Minnesota Lynx30c72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.284852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Golden State Valkyries44c68.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.665952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Lynx47c64.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1532150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Golden State Valkyries47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Golden State Valkyries45c60.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0564152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Golden State Valkyries45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710244.1%45 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Golden State Valkyries48c58.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0532948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc51…245abacked Minnesota Lynx56c57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.081275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Golden State Valkyries20c55.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1337650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Golden State Valkyries46c50.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1410935.8%39 W · 70 L-13.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-35.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Golden State Valkyries49c50.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.623348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Minnesota Lynx47c49.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3510657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Golden State Valkyries44c47.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Golden State Valkyries45c45.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.228447.9%136 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed Golden State Valkyries47c42.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed Minnesota Lynx69c41.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Golden State Valkyries47c38.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.916827.9%19 W · 49 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-41.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8428…b41fbacked Minnesota Lynx56c35.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.625457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9af…f4f7backed Golden State Valkyries60c33.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.161353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Golden State Valkyries45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510349.5%51 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Golden State Valkyries45c28.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8818850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef0…25b2backed Minnesota Lynx55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.271163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1216…a8bcbacked Minnesota Lynx51c26.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.84475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa9…9945backed Golden State Valkyries44c25.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.421118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-65.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Golden State Valkyries45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.252853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked Golden State Valkyries46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcaa5…1834backed Golden State Valkyries69c22.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Golden State Valkyries48c22.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.591127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-51.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6844…d538backed Minnesota Lynx56c20.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.16757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked Golden State Valkyries50c20.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Minnesota Lynx56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x470b…e566backed Golden State Valkyries50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Minnesota Lynx55c18.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c5…b7ebbacked Golden State Valkyries69c14.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.