Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2180b5e2d07951bf6ccc45b36d784db5463c5ad30ff23b6b7d11783059494a9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 65c | 659.85$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.95 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 64c | 578.72$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.34 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 35c | 491$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.95 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 37c | 386.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.55 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 63c | 380.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 65c | 237$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 36c | 197.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 64c | 169.3$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 35c | 158$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 65c | 143$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Over | 34c | 135.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 65c | 134$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Over | 36c | 119.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 64c | 83.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa621…6e29backed Over | 35c | 62.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 55.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Over | 36c | 54.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Under | 39c | 42.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +122%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 36c | 31.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…a5d4backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Under | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…438abacked Under | 66c | 18.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5)Dplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.