WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7eaf1217f141a1f17d35d976eb8034d97d7d1c9dd5abe2602d59d6ab5f556b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof New York Liberty, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Liberty | 47c | 7,308$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.7 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 56c | 3,049$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.23 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 2,732$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.05 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 2,205$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.25 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 1,929$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.13 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed New York Liberty | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Liberty | 36c | 821.96$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.34 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 696.99$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.25 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed New York Liberty | 48c | 595.21$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.7 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 521.09$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.12 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 325$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed New York Liberty | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed New York Liberty | 45c | 179.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed New York Liberty | 52c | 148.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked New York Liberty | 45c | 138$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty | 45c | 90.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 79.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…6054backed Los Angeles Sparks | 36c | 59.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 42.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 42.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Los Angeles Sparks | 58c | 33.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…f0cfbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…06a4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803e…7331backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…6fe4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…cae2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 24.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 22.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 50c | 22.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked New York Liberty | 57c | 17.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty: O/U 187.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.