WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty: O/U 187.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ac012965c1083148c4ee6af5c829bbf873cb2bbde8b29a78e11447194f51ac5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 7,010$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.87 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Over | 50c | 6,466$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263.18 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 49c | 4,493$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.04 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 4,138$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.24 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 4,120$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.06 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 3,378$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.32 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 3,062$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.99 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 2,872$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.58 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 2,423$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.27 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 1,653$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.31 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 39c | 1,595$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 20c | 1,238$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.69 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 1,025$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.26 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Over | 47c | 909.81$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.88 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 53c | 744$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.68 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 24c | 639.95$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.79 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 50c | 503.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.41 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 488.62$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.03 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…e2a0backed Over | 48c | 414.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed Under | 52c | 399.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under | 51c | 396.03$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.05 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 53c | 249.09$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Under | 51c | 219.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 52c | 178.93$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 51c | 175.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 138$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 51c | 135$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Over | 44c | 132$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 131.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Under | 51c | 115.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 51c | 109.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Over | 18c | 105.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Under | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 50c | 73.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Under | 51c | 70.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 79c | 61.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…dc71backed Under | 50c | 61.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 80c | 54.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 51c | 49.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Under | 72c | 43.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 48c | 41.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 41.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7a…ce3abacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…eb9dbacked Under | 51c | 28.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 50c | 22.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Under | 80c | 17.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Under | 80c | 12.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty: O/U 187.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.