WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43b714cf1dc7501a7f05896c698dd5f766c13470b0f3c46932f0c514db697dee

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Los Angeles Sparksof New York Liberty, Los Angeles Sparks
Resolved: Aug 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $66,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $66,433

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,865 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6820…1c19backed Los Angeles Sparks	53c	20,824$10,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,857.86	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Sparks	50c	16,243$8,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,121.43	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed New York Liberty	50c	11,166$5,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,582.57	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty	47c	8,816$4,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,155.79	785	48.8%383 W · 402 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1681…5032backed Los Angeles Sparks	48c	6,212$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,211.51	71	59.2%42 W · 29 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked New York Liberty	47c	4,279$2,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,011.03	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty	48c	3,750$1,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,788.97	837	48.1%403 W · 434 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Los Angeles Sparks	51c	3,506$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,705.61	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty	52c	2,287$1,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195.12	893	49.4%441 W · 452 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Liberty	50c	2,200$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked New York Liberty	52c	1,700$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.39	66	50%33 W · 33 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed New York Liberty	48c	1,556$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.03	462	47%217 W · 245 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked New York Liberty	51c	1,394$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.76	96	50%48 W · 48 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0359…fda7backed New York Liberty	44c	1,369$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked New York Liberty	52c	1,300$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Liberty	49c	1,232$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.17	506	46.8%237 W · 269 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…b821backed Los Angeles Sparks	47c	1,100$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked New York Liberty	49c	1,037$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.13	386	50.3%194 W · 192 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed New York Liberty	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed New York Liberty	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-6.8wins	-0.21per pick	53cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Los Angeles Sparks	48c	984.4$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.89	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked New York Liberty	48c	870.5$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.84	411	45.7%188 W · 223 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed New York Liberty	50c	620.47$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.24	137	46%63 W · 74 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed New York Liberty	49c	606.77$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.32	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-4.8wins	-0.25per pick	52cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Sparks	46c	563.58$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.3	995	48.1%479 W · 516 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked New York Liberty	54c	555.56$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed New York Liberty	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks	37c	465.39$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.17	1,611	50.2%809 W · 802 L	+37.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed New York Liberty	54c	461.99$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.48	157	46.5%73 W · 84 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed New York Liberty	51c	440$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.4	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed New York Liberty	51c	391.04$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty	52c	360.61$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.04	1,765	51.7%912 W · 853 L	+53.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked New York Liberty	48c	310$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.8	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed Los Angeles Sparks	51c	255.44$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.14	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Los Angeles Sparks	48c	254.43$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.11	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Los Angeles Sparks	46c	217$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.18	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-6.7wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Los Angeles Sparks	50c	210$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed New York Liberty	39c	199.77$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.07	77	32.5%25 W · 52 L	-9.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed New York Liberty	49c	184$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.16	164	50%82 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty	47c	162.5$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.18	749	42.3%317 W · 432 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty	58c	158$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.44	552	55.1%304 W · 248 L	+25.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed New York Liberty	48c	153$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.44	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed New York Liberty	52c	140.22$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.91	143	45.5%65 W · 78 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8151…74eebacked New York Liberty	44c	137.77$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.62	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+20%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed New York Liberty	49c	127.69$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.57	136	49.3%67 W · 69 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Los Angeles Sparks	45c	125.84$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.21	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed New York Liberty	53c	120$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.6	270	49.6%134 W · 136 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Los Angeles Sparks	46c	112$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.48	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5fd…6f17backed Los Angeles Sparks	16c	100$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Los Angeles Sparks	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	387	44.7%173 W · 214 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Sparks	14c	96.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.84	349	18.3%64 W · 285 L	-49.5wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Los Angeles Sparks	48c	93$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.36	286	47.9%137 W · 149 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd20c…5031backed New York Liberty	52c	92.06$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.87	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Los Angeles Sparks	51c	84.99$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.64	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b97…ecd3backed New York Liberty	55c	81.82$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed New York Liberty	48c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	615	47%289 W · 326 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed New York Liberty	49c	80$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed New York Liberty	48c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	192	57.3%110 W · 82 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49f…03acbacked Los Angeles Sparks	52c	79.5$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.16	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	57cpaid	+42%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed New York Liberty	48c	79.48$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.15	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked New York Liberty	58c	73.29$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.36	371	41.2%153 W · 218 L	-13.3wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Los Angeles Sparks	52c	72.88$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.87	85	49.4%42 W · 43 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Los Angeles Sparks	47c	65.82$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.86	307	34.2%105 W · 202 L	-28.2wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked New York Liberty	50c	58$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.17	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Los Angeles Sparks	48c	57.05$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.67	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9c…0f59backed New York Liberty	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xade5…56b1backed Los Angeles Sparks	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed New York Liberty	50c	49.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.51	203	40.9%83 W · 120 L	-16.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked New York Liberty	75c	39.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Sparks	49c	39.23$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.01	378	50%189 W · 189 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed New York Liberty	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.8wins	-0.29per pick	52cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed New York Liberty	48c	33.77$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.21	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed New York Liberty	52c	33.26$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.26	108	53.7%58 W · 50 L	+9.2wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed Los Angeles Sparks	52c	28.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.85	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd912…5854backed New York Liberty	51c	28.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Los Angeles Sparks	52c	28.3$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.58	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Liberty	50c	28.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.99	641	52%333 W · 308 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fa…bea1backed New York Liberty	56c	26.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.73	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Los Angeles Sparks	48c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.21per pick	39cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f20…5d31backed New York Liberty	54c	23.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.51	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Los Angeles Sparks	50c	22.99$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	179	46.9%84 W · 95 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed New York Liberty	59c	22.71$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	126	61.1%77 W · 49 L	+11.8wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed New York Liberty	49c	21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked New York Liberty	69c	15.07$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	367	50.7%186 W · 181 L	+15.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)this page
Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty: O/U 187.5Under won
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)Los Angeles Sparks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event