Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0ea53ec81bf0ae20c735dccce519839d119370180539e0efc1a1d69437f8c4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 62c | 2,122$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.2 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 63c | 1,603$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.8 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Over | 37c | 1,396$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.78 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 60c | 1,037$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.42 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Over | 37c | 840.7$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.64 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Over | 38c | 640$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.8 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 56c | 561.87$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.54 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 63c | 511.88$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.48 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Under | 52c | 423.51$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Over | 42c | 257.39$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 65c | 236.18$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Over | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.53 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Over | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 63c | 159.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 37c | 140$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…9dd5backed Over | 66c | 115.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Over | 38c | 107.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 37c | 95.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 36c | 83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Over | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 38c | 61.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Under | 63c | 59.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…6fe4backed Over | 37c | 52.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…4390backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…2613backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…5e9bbacked Over | 38c | 51.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Over | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 39c | 43.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 50c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…3251backed Under | 64c | 20.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- First Blood in Game 2?Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.