Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01998d07a792ffc191c26e88ce9032bf92548fe4ca0aa96ff31fb6c8f40a6e8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Under | 49c | 17,000$8,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,329.95 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 51c | 11,304$5,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,551.31 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Under | 50c | 4,008$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.06 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Under | 49c | 2,123$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.99 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Over | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.63 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 65c | 1,481$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.06 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 51c | 1,372$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.48 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…9a95backed Over | 51c | 1,234$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.54 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 48c | 1,198$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.25 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed Over | 51c | 1,050$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.36 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 51c | 1,016$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.71 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Under | 31c | 1,013$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.9 | 354 | 48.6%172 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 51c | 699$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.51 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 48c | 677.83$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.94 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Over | 75c | 650.08$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…ab9ebacked Under | 41c | 644.77$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.52 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 345 | 68.7%237 W · 108 L | +24.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…8deebacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 51c | 534.98$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.14 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 51c | 501.96$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.96 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 49c | 401.63$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.83 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ab…5315backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 41c | 377.32$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.36 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…e61abacked Over | 51c | 197.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 181.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 10c | 162.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Under | 48c | 157.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 65c | 145.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 47c | 145.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Over | 53c | 142.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Over | 51c | 131.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 52c | 112.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Under | 32c | 104.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 352 | 23.9%84 W · 268 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…c6e6backed Under | 42c | 94.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 51c | 92.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 59c | 66.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Over | 62c | 64.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Over | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Over | 57c | 53.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 53c | 48.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 65c | 42.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Under | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…56fbbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 51c | 35.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…cb72backed Over | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…1e7ebacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…6df5backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 324 | 47.5%154 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e88…7d0cbacked Over | 53c | 27.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…c6bebacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Under | 48c | 23.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd751…3bf7backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa484…524cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Over | 73c | 18.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 366 | 43.7%160 W · 206 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- First Blood in Game 2?Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.