Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07a4042f844aea20dcb64f4c239082b47e95c23ce0dc6c69ab899b2abbc3e7bc

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,375 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8627…5382backed Under	66c	15,000$9,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,892.4	223	55.2%123 W · 100 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Over	34c	14,611$4,968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,643.51	960	48.8%468 W · 492 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8168…6857backed Under	45c	2,214$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.84	129	43.4%56 W · 73 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	65c	1,661$1,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,076.98	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Over	69c	1,608$1,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.76	697	41.5%289 W · 408 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe197…71ebbacked Over	35c	1,429$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.57	277	45.8%127 W · 150 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Over	34c	1,400$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.96	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Over	62c	1,313$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.63	341	51.6%176 W · 165 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90e7…ac8ebacked Under	65c	823.08$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535	144	42.4%61 W · 83 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over	70c	814.55$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.13	1,170	66.2%774 W · 396 L	+69.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under	66c	712.12$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	161	50.9%82 W · 79 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over	27c	700$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Under	65c	662.06$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.34	624	51.4%321 W · 303 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Over	36c	538.89$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.89	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over	40c	527.05$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.35	1,134	31%352 W · 782 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Over	34c	499.99$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.99	113	44.2%50 W · 63 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	64c	489.26$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.13	386	40.4%156 W · 230 L	-17.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under	32c	394.78$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.78	1,971	30.5%601 W · 1,370 L	-170.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Under	66c	379.38$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over	35c	338.15$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.52	462	48.9%226 W · 236 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Under	66c	304.91$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.01	660	58.8%388 W · 272 L	-36.9wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1636…977bbacked Over	43c	282.3$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.3	58	56.9%33 W · 25 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c74…5383backed Under	60c	250$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	197	41.1%81 W · 116 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under	64c	221.97$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.06	1,098	34.8%382 W · 716 L	-17.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	36c	209.43$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.69	1,113	39%434 W · 679 L	-44.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x665e…dc39backed Over	38c	191.92$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.92	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	62c	190$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.8	1,061	54.7%580 W · 481 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under	29c	181.6$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.43	828	36.4%301 W · 527 L	-41.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac87…502fbacked Over	35c	178.86$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.26	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Over	27c	175.54$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.14	905	37.5%339 W · 566 L	-18.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over	36c	150.16$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.79	264	40.9%108 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	37c	145$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.35	460	50.7%233 W · 227 L	+13.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	64c	139.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.29	245	44.5%109 W · 136 L	-12.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over	23c	123.85$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.36	324	42%136 W · 188 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8112…1668backed Under	76c	122.87$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.38	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Under	66c	121.39$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.99	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Under	62c	107.7$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.4	193	42%81 W · 112 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	48c	104.6$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.82	1,357	31.2%423 W · 934 L	-129.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over	39c	100.01$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.74	347	42.1%146 W · 201 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over	39c	100.01$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.77	314	39.8%125 W · 189 L	-16.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under	29c	100.01$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	704	43.9%309 W · 395 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	63c	100$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7041…ca6fbacked Over	31c	93.45$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.45	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	35c	93.03$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.85	2,679	35.7%957 W · 1,722 L	-153.5wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over	67c	93$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.69	195	53.3%104 W · 91 L	+9.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed Over	35c	85.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.55	127	36.2%46 W · 81 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33b0…3636backed Over	36c	83.33$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.33	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	23c	82.25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over	40c	80.07$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.84	1,593	43.8%697 W · 896 L	-74.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf035…052abacked Over	33c	76.15$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.02	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Under	15c	75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over	35c	71.43$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.43	453	38%172 W · 281 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over	73c	70.32$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.66	222	65.3%145 W · 77 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	31c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	406	41.9%170 W · 236 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under	30c	60$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	401	43.9%176 W · 225 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Over	22c	57.46$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.82	168	51.2%86 W · 82 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f5…6df5backed Over	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	73	67.1%49 W · 24 L	+12.8wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x562c…8597backed Over	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under	66c	55.11$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.63	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under	26c	54.4$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.06	152	43.4%66 W · 86 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07aa…fc6bbacked Under	66c	53.03$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.35per pick	68cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d6…6562backed Over	75c	50.82$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.82	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	34c	49.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.99	617	46.5%287 W · 330 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	23c	46.82$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	1,239	37.3%462 W · 777 L	-39.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Over	36c	41.67$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.31per pick	49cpaid	+61.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	35c	40.61$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	163	46%75 W · 88 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	36c	39.34$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.18	246	42.3%104 W · 142 L	-15.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	51c	39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	2,311	39.4%910 W · 1,401 L	-83.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	65c	33.89$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.03	227	48%109 W · 118 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e8…e69cbacked Over	35c	31.03$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.17	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-3.6wins	-0.17per pick	60cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over	36c	29.98$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.31	395	55.2%218 W · 177 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed Over	71c	28.6$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.28	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e9…8404backed Under	62c	24.19$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	63c	23.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.77	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under	66c	18$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over	68c	17.25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.52	186	39.2%73 W · 113 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Under	77c	16$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	577	72.3%417 W · 160 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	73cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
First Blood in Game 2?Karmine Corp won
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event