Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dd190824590a9b1043afff5a930f14d305a2aa33e408f2d700d0d5a62dbfb37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 51c | 3,412$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.83 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 49c | 2,522$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.54 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Over | 50c | 1,065$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.3 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Under | 50c | 446.59$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.3 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked Over | 51c | 251.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 50c | 227.2$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 51c | 155.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Over | 50c | 132.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 50c | 80.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 51c | 64.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Over | 50c | 59.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Over | 49c | 40.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…362bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…cae2backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…5e9bbacked Over | 50c | 39.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…6fe4backed Over | 50c | 39.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…cb72backed Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f2…9a13backed Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 34.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…c179backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…d1f3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Dignitas won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerDignitas won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.