Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4332770007bd5719b796c01160fba89ea62369f8da0d7026862616f840d6270a

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Dignitasof Cloud9, Dignitas
Resolved: Aug 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $49,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,440 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6918…782bbacked Dignitas	35c	11,913$4,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,743.94	1,522	54.7%832 W · 690 L	+37.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Cloud9	65c	7,560$4,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,888.69	128	40.6%52 W · 76 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Dignitas	35c	4,641$1,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,015.39	1,132	52.5%594 W · 538 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked Cloud9	65c	3,701$2,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,421.73	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab3e…de25backed Cloud9	66c	3,100$2,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040.77	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+4.2wins	+0.28per pick	46cpaid	+57%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7e4d…b4cabacked Cloud9	65c	2,948$1,916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,915.93	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Cloud9	65c	2,788$1,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,812.2	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Dignitas	35c	1,714$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,114.18	499	47.1%235 W · 264 L	-15.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Dignitas	35c	1,700$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,109.99	903	50.8%459 W · 444 L	+17.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Cloud9	66c	1,490$983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.4	1,117	48.8%545 W · 572 L	+40.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Dignitas	34c	1,206$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.66	2,178	53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L	+61.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Cloud9	65c	1,205$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.02	181	44.2%80 W · 101 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df9…0965backed Cloud9	65c	1,184$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.6	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-41%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Cloud9	65c	1,051$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.38	197	52.8%104 W · 93 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Dignitas	34c	999.99$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.99	1,153	55.9%645 W · 508 L	+25.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed Cloud9	66c	975.91$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Cloud9	65c	896.92$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Dignitas	36c	888$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.32	649	43.1%280 W · 369 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Dignitas	36c	800$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512	111	61.3%68 W · 43 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7290…bdf6backed Cloud9	65c	796.23$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.55	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Dignitas	34c	775.47$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.64	405	51.1%207 W · 198 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb2c…5280backed Cloud9	65c	775$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.75	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Dignitas	35c	760.87$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.87	282	53.5%151 W · 131 L	+11.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Dignitas	35c	600$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Dignitas	35c	599.98$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.99	113	57.5%65 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Cloud9	65c	575$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.75	85	49.4%42 W · 43 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Dignitas	36c	555.56$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.56	2,367	31.9%756 W · 1,611 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Cloud9	64c	522.51$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.18	648	49.8%323 W · 325 L	-25.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…f1f3backed Dignitas	36c	500$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320	248	48.4%120 W · 128 L	-14.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa430…c6f9backed Cloud9	65c	458.74$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.61	261	50.6%132 W · 129 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0160…1224backed Dignitas	33c	450.59$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.59	239	40.2%96 W · 143 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Cloud9	65c	384.62$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	655	63.2%414 W · 241 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked Cloud9	64c	352$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.28	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa4b2…fb36backed Cloud9	65c	348$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.2	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Cloud9	67c	300$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	609	43.2%263 W · 346 L	-12.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Cloud9	66c	300$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.4	350	45.1%158 W · 192 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Dignitas	36c	275$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	200	59%118 W · 82 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Cloud9	65c	270.58$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.2	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+31%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Dignitas	49c	234.2$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.76	706	41.5%293 W · 413 L	-17.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cloud9	61c	233.08$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.18	304	47.4%144 W · 160 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11ca…2737backed Cloud9	65c	230.77$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	112	64.3%72 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed Dignitas	39c	227.95$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.05	114	43%49 W · 65 L	+9.1wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Dignitas	52c	191$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.01	1,004	54.5%547 W · 457 L	+49.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Dignitas	36c	175$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Dignitas	35c	151.96$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.46	363	38.8%141 W · 222 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed Cloud9	69c	145.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	396	52%206 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Dignitas	31c	129.13$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.1	304	37.8%115 W · 189 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Cloud9	67c	128.8$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.3	452	44.5%201 W · 251 L	-30.0wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Cloud9	66c	119.99$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.19	210	51.4%108 W · 102 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked Cloud9	68c	117.9$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.17	121	51.2%62 W · 59 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Cloud9	67c	114$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.38	246	42.3%104 W · 142 L	-15.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe224…4907backed Cloud9	65c	111.71$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.61	66	71.2%47 W · 19 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Cloud9	64c	106$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.84	464	48.9%227 W · 237 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Cloud9	63c	100$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	1,056	50.4%532 W · 524 L	+36.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Dignitas	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.5	376	50%188 W · 188 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Dignitas	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	584	37.2%217 W · 367 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Cloud9	65c	96.27$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.58	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda6f…2ad7backed Cloud9	65c	92.31$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Dignitas	34c	92.14$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.81	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Cloud9	68c	91.06$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.76	1,343	49%658 W · 685 L	-26.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91dc…ca3abacked Dignitas	36c	87$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.68	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Dignitas	35c	85.71$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.71	100	34%34 W · 66 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Dignitas	32c	82.5$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.1	435	43.2%188 W · 247 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Dignitas	36c	80$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.2	1,049	44.6%468 W · 581 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Cloud9	67c	80$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.96	251	42.6%107 W · 144 L	-22.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Dignitas	32c	75$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	166	45.8%76 W · 90 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Dignitas	36c	66.44$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.52	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Dignitas	34c	64.4$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.2	347	42.1%146 W · 201 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43c6…6dc9backed Dignitas	36c	60.56$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.76	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Cloud9	65c	60$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.8	369	52.3%193 W · 176 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbaf7…be9bbacked Cloud9	67c	56.55$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.79	189	45%85 W · 104 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Dignitas	35c	53.5$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.94	704	43.9%309 W · 395 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Cloud9	21c	53.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.13	169	19.5%33 W · 136 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Dignitas	35c	51.43$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.43	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-5.4wins	-0.15per pick	54cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Dignitas	36c	50$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	314	39.8%125 W · 189 L	-16.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Dignitas	33c	49$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.83	255	40.4%103 W · 152 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6748…3c4cbacked Dignitas	36c	45$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x233e…14bdbacked Cloud9	68c	36$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.46	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f46…c530backed Cloud9	66c	30.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ff…a74cbacked Cloud9	67c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	52%92 W · 85 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b40…230cbacked Cloud9	65c	20.54$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c4…a7ffbacked Cloud9	64c	20.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	212	66.5%141 W · 71 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x942d…193cbacked Cloud9	66c	16.15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.66	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Cloud9	64c	15.82$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	2,984	44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L	-94.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)this page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonCloud9 won
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerDignitas won
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event