CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0175a82359d9579023d71fb2e1ebb23decb09ed9fd1c53b67c1cd4b054c81b28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAW Youngstersof Fortress, SAW Youngsters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Fortress | 22c | 637$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed SAW Youngsters | 75c | 566.92$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Fortress | 18c | 434.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Fortress | 6c | 421.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fortress | 11c | 386.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…6da1backed Fortress | 29c | 321.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Fortress | 11c | 264.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Fortress | 12c | 240$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fortress | 12c | 187$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fortress | 11c | 180$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8096…867cbacked Fortress | 9c | 168.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Fortress | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Fortress | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed SAW Youngsters | 78c | 119.68$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed SAW Youngsters | 75c | 118.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fortress | 13c | 102$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed SAW Youngsters | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed SAW Youngsters | 80c | 98.87$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fortress | 15c | 96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed SAW Youngsters | 71c | 56.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…adefbacked Fortress | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked SAW Youngsters | 76c | 39.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed SAW Youngsters | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked SAW Youngsters | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed SAW Youngsters | 80c | 16.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked SAW Youngsters | 79c | 13.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 WinnerSAW Youngsters won
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 WinnerSAW Youngsters won
- Map Handicap: SAW.Y (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)SAW Youngsters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.