TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SAW Youngstersof SPARTA, SAW Youngsters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,556 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA64c5,378$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,432.797,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed SAW Youngsters38c1,828$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.951,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed SAW Youngsters48c1,689$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.7223356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked SAW Youngsters36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9602,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed SAW Youngsters43c1,195$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.224,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed SPARTA56c1,000$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.212,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked SPARTA63c950$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.6235847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked SAW Youngsters38c935.15$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.7422241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked SAW Youngsters40c916.29$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.739335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA58c913.97$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.142,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked SAW Youngsters46c845.7$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.82,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked SAW Youngsters45c750$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.653,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SPARTA67c638.48$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.155,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA33c366.98$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.664,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a3d…9488backed SAW Youngsters42c311.71$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.794233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed SPARTA64c302$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2851446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked SAW Youngsters23c300$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23116235.8%58 W · 104 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed SPARTA53c272.91$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4842154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed SPARTA61c252.31$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9110142.6%43 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked SAW Youngsters37c241.42$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4258745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed SAW Youngsters38c215$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.335153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed SPARTA53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed SPARTA65c176.69$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5341853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed SPARTA59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024260.3%146 W · 96 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked SPARTA51c158.96$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.351,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed SAW Youngsters26c145.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.972,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed SAW Youngsters38c131.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9236749.3%181 W · 186 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed SPARTA62c118.92$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7361948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed SPARTA39c105.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0826048.5%126 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed SPARTA58c102$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1240666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed SAW Youngsters40c100.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.377351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed SPARTA62c97.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7555039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked SPARTA55c92.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.391,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed SAW Youngsters33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9130859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed SPARTA65c90$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.520742.5%88 W · 119 L-17.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked SAW Youngsters49c79.63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6643152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked SPARTA57c78.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530638.9%119 W · 187 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed SPARTA57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed SPARTA56c69.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3936856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked SAW Youngsters42c64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.832,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked SPARTA50c60.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021060%126 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked SAW Youngsters35c58.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.373,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed SPARTA53c50.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.492,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked SPARTA35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked SAW Youngsters54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239341.9%39 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked SAW Youngsters38c48.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.162,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked SAW Youngsters52c47.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.038153.1%43 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed SAW Youngsters62c39.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1521949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde1d…dfaabacked SAW Youngsters44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.097459.5%44 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked SAW Youngsters40c33.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1952645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked SPARTA53c30.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.243360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+41.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed SPARTA59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7580942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked SPARTA45c23.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.435973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x874d…7fd8backed SPARTA65c22.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.851457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked SPARTA63c22.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.061,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08fe…355fbacked SPARTA55c21.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210659.4%63 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed SPARTA70c18.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.944,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked SAW Youngsters76c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.841,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.