CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd61b97fd4560a7381ca6f7d2be8d29b46bab6b4325f81038b41cf742ffb1d748
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof Procyon Gaming, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Procyon Gaming | 15c | 1,984$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.96 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Procyon Gaming | 17c | 399.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ALKA | 70c | 359.4$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Procyon Gaming | 39c | 282.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Procyon Gaming | 9c | 265$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALKA | 60c | 243.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed ALKA | 74c | 234.6$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ALKA | 54c | 223.39$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Procyon Gaming | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Procyon Gaming | 36c | 192.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ALKA | 60c | 190.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Procyon Gaming | 31c | 152$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Procyon Gaming | 19c | 148.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Procyon Gaming | 17c | 143.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed ALKA | 53c | 143.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Procyon Gaming | 12c | 142$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Procyon Gaming | 17c | 125$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Procyon Gaming | 35c | 123.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Procyon Gaming | 18c | 123.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Procyon Gaming | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Procyon Gaming | 47c | 105.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ALKA | 66c | 97.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8838…8cecbacked ALKA | 61c | 88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed ALKA | 76c | 78.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ALKA | 56c | 53.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Procyon Gaming | 25c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Procyon Gaming | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed ALKA | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed ALKA | 68c | 32.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Procyon Gaming | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Procyon Gaming | 39c | 28.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed ALKA | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ALKA | 76c | 27.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Procyon Gaming | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed ALKA | 80c | 17.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StageALKA won
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.