TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
QUAZARof QUAZAR, SAW Youngsters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed QUAZAR50c6,059$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,035.251,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed SAW Youngsters54c2,545$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.284,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked SAW Youngsters50c2,397$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.472,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked SAW Youngsters50c2,159$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.093,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked SAW Youngsters61c1,628$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.747,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed SAW Youngsters42c1,362$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.6143455.1%239 W · 195 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed QUAZAR51c1,207$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.21,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SAW Youngsters54c1,203$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.615,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed QUAZAR52c1,161$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.111,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed QUAZAR49c758.49$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.1642154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked QUAZAR60c647.94$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.591,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed SAW Youngsters56c625$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked SAW Youngsters58c571.39$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.447537.3%28 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked SAW Youngsters29c532.85$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.274,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked QUAZAR60c500$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.6335847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked SAW Youngsters50c472.2$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.558745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed SAW Youngsters41c463.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.95,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed SAW Youngsters21c427.32$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.222,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed SAW Youngsters71c423.21$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016245.7%74 W · 88 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed QUAZAR43c400$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.161,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed SAW Youngsters33c396$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.21,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed QUAZAR58c322.53$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0240666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked SAW Youngsters55c313.25$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.383,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked SAW Youngsters56c294.32$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.474,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed SAW Youngsters45c286.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.524,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed SAW Youngsters41c214.26$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.071,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked QUAZAR59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.393956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed QUAZAR61c200$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7961948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed QUAZAR47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed QUAZAR77c167.61$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5536649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed SAW Youngsters61c163$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9151446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed QUAZAR55c144.01$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.42,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked QUAZAR73c142$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.953,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed SAW Youngsters59c107.1$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6317361.3%106 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed SAW Youngsters56c106.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41c4…ceb9backed QUAZAR59c102.6$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.724141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked SAW Youngsters49c102.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021354.5%116 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed SAW Youngsters44c101.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.146550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked SAW Youngsters24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413834.8%48 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked SAW Youngsters41c99.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.492,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked QUAZAR57c95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9338032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked QUAZAR74c86$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.642,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked QUAZAR57c85.86$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9217955.3%99 W · 80 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked QUAZAR62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.438469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed QUAZAR52c78.85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8526344.1%116 W · 147 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked SAW Youngsters63c77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.615060.7%91 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked QUAZAR50c74.58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.264858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed SAW Youngsters64c67.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8441853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed SAW Youngsters60c65.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2336749.3%181 W · 186 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed SAW Youngsters50c54.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2289046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed QUAZAR59c52.48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3160954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9c…bfe2backed QUAZAR57c51.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.193262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked SAW Youngsters55c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.42,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked SAW Youngsters55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked SAW Youngsters65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.52,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed SAW Youngsters63c46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8320742.5%88 W · 119 L-17.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5df0…95b3backed QUAZAR57c45.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4613871%98 W · 40 L+15.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x91ca…a3dfbacked SAW Youngsters50c43.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.883842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked QUAZAR59c42.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.342,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked QUAZAR48c38.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.112,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed QUAZAR39c37.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7726048.5%126 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked QUAZAR57c33.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.338159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed SAW Youngsters63c32.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5924152.3%126 W · 115 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked SAW Youngsters32c32.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.225973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed SAW Youngsters50c31.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1636856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked SAW Youngsters39c31.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3944563.8%284 W · 161 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked QUAZAR62c31.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9717067.6%115 W · 55 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked QUAZAR55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.513244.7%59 W · 73 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked SAW Youngsters45c29.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed QUAZAR68c29.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4841372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed QUAZAR61c28.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1311358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed QUAZAR60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.982,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb56…7277backed QUAZAR73c24.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.684266.7%28 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed QUAZAR57c20.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9728761.3%176 W · 111 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x104b…e9cebacked QUAZAR72c20.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7918481.5%150 W · 34 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick74cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa766…46e2backed QUAZAR74c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed QUAZAR67c17.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.777963.3%50 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed QUAZAR69c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.945,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed QUAZAR67c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.342,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.