TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SAW Youngstersof QUAZAR, SAW Youngsters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,719 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0478…37c3backed QUAZAR55c5,685$3,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,145.969952.5%52 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked QUAZAR55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9975056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed SAW Youngsters37c2,704$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.681,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed SAW Youngsters45c2,185$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.451,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed QUAZAR48c1,979$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.4421953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SAW Youngsters42c1,822$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.155,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed QUAZAR54c1,762$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.8823356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed SAW Youngsters47c1,655$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.841,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked QUAZAR14c1,650$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.847,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked SAW Youngsters49c1,642$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8431,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked QUAZAR63c1,610$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.6435847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x805d…f780backed QUAZAR20c1,599$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.112853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked SAW Youngsters45c1,500$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.173,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked QUAZAR65c1,319$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.732,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed SAW Youngsters33c999.63$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.132,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed SAW Youngsters43c773.1$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.584,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked QUAZAR10c699.71$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.484,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed QUAZAR71c676.04$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4771,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked SAW Youngsters41c617$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.453,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed SAW Youngsters44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.181,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked SAW Youngsters44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.187537.3%28 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf1…3018backed SAW Youngsters38c413$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.065540%22 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed QUAZAR54c399.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3616850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed QUAZAR54c380$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.235153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed SAW Youngsters31c327.13$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7225142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked QUAZAR37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11122838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed SAW Youngsters28c300$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2683543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked SAW Youngsters50c286.58$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.382,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed SAW Youngsters47c220.06$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.974,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed QUAZAR12c213$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.335,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed SAW Youngsters16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked SAW Youngsters55c185.08$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.344,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed QUAZAR56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed QUAZAR48c161$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2827647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed QUAZAR13c156$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.282,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed SAW Youngsters52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7216245.7%74 W · 88 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde1d…dfaabacked QUAZAR60c144.91$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877459.5%44 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed SAW Youngsters37c142.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.11,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked QUAZAR33c141.95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.172,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed QUAZAR39c141.69$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.752,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed QUAZAR48c141.28$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3120046%92 W · 108 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked QUAZAR63c138.91$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.452,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked SAW Youngsters54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.639445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed SAW Youngsters46c123.22$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3442154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked QUAZAR61c105$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2511460.5%69 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed QUAZAR15c103$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2920742.5%88 W · 119 L-17.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed SAW Youngsters55c98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.12,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed QUAZAR24c88.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.072,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked QUAZAR64c78.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3938469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed QUAZAR67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036749.3%181 W · 186 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed SAW Youngsters33c74.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5061948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked QUAZAR30c74.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.113,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked QUAZAR30c74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.311,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed SAW Youngsters44c72.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3891743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed QUAZAR35c60.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2112544%55 W · 70 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked QUAZAR68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.962,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed QUAZAR64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.46550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked QUAZAR30c59.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.253,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked QUAZAR49c59.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.641,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb140…ce3dbacked QUAZAR55c50.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.968351.8%43 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked QUAZAR38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910541%43 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ae…2890backed SAW Youngsters57c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.71612.5%2 W · 14 L-6.6wins-0.41per pick53cpaid-48.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed QUAZAR64c48.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0860954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc269…7841backed SAW Youngsters28c47.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.036333.3%21 W · 42 L-11.4wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed SAW Youngsters49c43.61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2436856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed QUAZAR55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2232951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c60…1129backed QUAZAR49c38.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.596141%25 W · 36 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed SAW Youngsters55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.756144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked SAW Youngsters49c29.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.072,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked SAW Youngsters55c29.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.221,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed QUAZAR68c29.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8541372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked SAW Youngsters43c27.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8713871%98 W · 40 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd83…d102backed QUAZAR62c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0210047%47 W · 53 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96db…499fbacked QUAZAR56c20.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.76347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed SAW Youngsters49c20.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5641853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed QUAZAR58c20.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.928761.3%176 W · 111 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed QUAZAR56c17.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.