CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc082d473c7cd78d28f4bd23a41e7d2b0b7337039201b476764a1742534f2adaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 3,207$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.57 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 29c | 1,454$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.33 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 1,358$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.56 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 48c | 1,120$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.14 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Eternal Fire | 39c | 472.25$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.25 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 73c | 390$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.7 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Eternal Fire | 17c | 352$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.16 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Eternal Fire | 18c | 332.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.6 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 253.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.73 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire | 45c | 252.53$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.39 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 247$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.54 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 182$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 177.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 52c | 165.42$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 33c | 149.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 114.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 54c | 105.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 100.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Eternal Fire | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 53c | 94.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 92.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 66c | 91.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 84.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 34c | 76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 64.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Eternal Fire | 53c | 60.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Eternal Fire | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 57.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Eternal Fire | 19c | 54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 42.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Eternal Fire | 40c | 41.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 38.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 37.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 37.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 69c | 31.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Eternal Fire | 67c | 29.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 27.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 26.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Eternal Fire | 61c | 22.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…7fd8backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 17.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 66c | 17.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 PlayoffsEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.