CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Just Players - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e25bf96d5b4ded3f815f080eaaf6c6342f648befeeac5d586489b98e199e63d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof ex-RUSTEC, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Just Players | 30c | 2,724$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.65 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ex-RUSTEC | 62c | 1,904$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.41 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUSTEC | 61c | 1,813$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.95 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 1,725$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.47 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Just Players | 53c | 1,510$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.3 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…053ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.3 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ex-RUSTEC | 60c | 563.11$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.92 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Just Players | 19c | 557.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Just Players | 48c | 554.24$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.55 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 61c | 326.58$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Just Players | 24c | 260$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ex-RUSTEC | 76c | 254.58$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 69c | 250$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 243.89$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Just Players | 21c | 212$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed ex-RUSTEC | 53c | 180$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Just Players | 42c | 138.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC | 71c | 122.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Just Players | 38c | 118.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Just Players | 22c | 108$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Just Players | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-RUSTEC | 69c | 98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Just Players | 41c | 97.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC | 71c | 91.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed ex-RUSTEC | 49c | 89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed ex-RUSTEC | 73c | 82.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Just Players | 62c | 80.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Just Players | 39c | 79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Just Players | 26c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…442cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed ex-RUSTEC | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Just Players | 41c | 52.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 46.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Just Players | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed ex-RUSTEC | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Just Players | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed ex-RUSTEC | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUSTEC | 75c | 31.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed ex-RUSTEC | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Just Players | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 25.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Just Players | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ex-RUSTEC | 49c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed ex-RUSTEC | 74c | 20.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed ex-RUSTEC | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed ex-RUSTEC | 65c | 18.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Just Players - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stageex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.