South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56f4b50a93d5caab9d99b43f36058a72f210fec6689b8b3d27d0a7da82002d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $628,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $667,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $628,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 50c | 240,787$120,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,362.11 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 53c | 189,259$101,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,251.88 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 50c | 112,321$56,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,160.48 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 47,127$22,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,262.12 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 28,446$13,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,359.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 47c | 26,827$12,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,646.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 24,109$8,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,296.61 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 47c | 23,987$11,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,273.89 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 35c | 23,817$8,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,335.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 47c | 23,625$11,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,103.75 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 50c | 22,222$11,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,111 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 46c | 19,788$9,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,102.51 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 65c | 14,150$9,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,955.2 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 47c | 12,427$5,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,862.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 47c | 10,828$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,044.97 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed No | 47c | 9,360$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.2 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…f406backed Yes | 54c | 9,233$4,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 46c | 7,245$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked No | 50c | 4,971$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed No | 46c | 4,825$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 51c | 4,673$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.35 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 22c | 4,438$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.36 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 65c | 3,890$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.61 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 47c | 3,729$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.63 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 3,351$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.21 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked No | 10c | 3,347$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.72 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 3,325$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.18 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 47c | 2,875$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 65c | 2,732$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.11 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 2,399$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 46c | 2,196$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.35 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 7c | 2,156$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.76 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 2,117$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.07 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc8…c678backed Yes | 78c | 1,845$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 1,742$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.49 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.67 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 46c | 1,653$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.21 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 67c | 1,645$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.53 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 71c | 1,633$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.45 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 46c | 1,613$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.86 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 47c | 1,595$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.65 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 46c | 1,568$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.28 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 1,534$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.72 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 48c | 1,519$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.65 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 1,518$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.22 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 47c | 1,458$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.22 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 52c | 1,297$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.58 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 51c | 1,234$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.23 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 1c | 1,224$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 47c | 1,070$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…09f1backed No | 50c | 1,025$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 57c | 1,017$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.93 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 3c | 996$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 50c | 995.98$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.58 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 47c | 945$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 51c | 816.04$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.86 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 48c | 794.6$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 49c | 782.45$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.8 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 65c | 759.83$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.14 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked No | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Yes | 53c | 701.65$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.11 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…c692backed Yes | 54c | 692.04$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 47c | 641.69$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.68 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No | 50c | 627.13$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 51c | 621.7$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.08 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 52c | 609.62$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.62 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 594.86$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.27 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2a77backed Yes | 69c | 592.59$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 50c | 579.77$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 564$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.01 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 554$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.49 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed No | 47c | 550$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 540.63$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.68 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 53c | 535.7$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.78 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Yes | 48c | 535.66$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.87 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 47c | 523$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 516$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…e3cabacked Yes | 51c | 486.61$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Yes | 50c | 400.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.55 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 52c | 392.37$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.86 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed No | 52c | 370$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 54c | 352.72$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.25 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed No | 29c | 309.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Yes | 50c | 291.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed No | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 52c | 288.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed No | 47c | 281.23$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.07 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.