Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1af65c35ae3623eb6b7d0cdc84320a6d45064e16a63e4e3799e0c77c3cdc1e0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed No | 1c | 14,116$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 60c | 13,019$7,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,172.39 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 39c | 4,699$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.9 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 41c | 4,572$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 2,313$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.97 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 57c | 1,911$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.23 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 44c | 1,854$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.13 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe01c…7f6cbacked No | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,746$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.46 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 1c | 1,707$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 40c | 1,615$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 42c | 1,504$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.44 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 63c | 1,021$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.65 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 40c | 906.56$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.5 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0adc…7239backed No | 40c | 889.91$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 857.78$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.58 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 42c | 847.19$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.32 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Yes | 56c | 846.93$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.23 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 39c | 762.61$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.42 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 730.48$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.07 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 39c | 677.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.65 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 650.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 41c | 640.32$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.53 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 54c | 625.36$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.79 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 59c | 515.68$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.43 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 42c | 414.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 39c | 399.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 41c | 390$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 58c | 364.62$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.53 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 324.02$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 39c | 320$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.81 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 320$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 21c | 315.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 39c | 305.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 59c | 289.8$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 286.01$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.05 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 78c | 275$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 61c | 259.29$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked No | 42c | 230.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…0522backed No | 42c | 203.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 60c | 199.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 39c | 199.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 199.54$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 23c | 193.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 38c | 185.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed No | 42c | 178.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…ef4cbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 18c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 60c | 149.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 39c | 141.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 59c | 136.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…431fbacked Yes | 60c | 134$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 38c | 130.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 59c | 129.21$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed No | 39c | 127.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 61c | 123.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 120.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 69c | 113.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 61c | 101.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 101.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…6382backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 41c | 92.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 60c | 89.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 39c | 84.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 62c | 74.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 39c | 74.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 60c | 73.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 62c | 69.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 28c | 69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 39c | 65.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 46c | 65.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…7e33backed No | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed No | 39c | 59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 40c | 57.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed No | 41c | 54.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 39c | 44.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Yes | 57c | 42.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 41c | 40.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 40c | 38.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 38c | 35.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 41c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -11.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c1…07d5backed Yes | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 39c | 29.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea76…276bbacked Yes | 61c | 29.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes | 60c | 28.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 68c | 25.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe326…f075backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 54c | 20.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will FC Déifferdeng 03 win on 2026-07-16?No won
- Will Ilves Tampere vs. FC Déifferdeng 03 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.