Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Déifferdeng 03 win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0ccabbe6c9cbd4e30afb793954339424979c204cb5de22f3854fe56189656bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 20c | 1,498$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.26 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 25c | 685.77$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.33 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 512.87$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 15c | 512.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 345.28$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 30c | 269.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 74c | 248.52$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee1a…a6f9backed Yes | 19c | 234$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 20c | 128.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 80c | 112.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 96.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 86.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 18c | 81.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 21c | 67.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 62.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Yes | 18c | 58.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…ef4cbacked No | 59c | 51.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked No | 56c | 44.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…82e7backed Yes | 42c | 35.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 46c | 35.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 55c | 34.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 28.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 78cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Déifferdeng 03 win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will Ilves Tampere vs. FC Déifferdeng 03 end in a draw?No won
- Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.