TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,724 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes19c10,544$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.492,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes17c6,514$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.829920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No80c5,316$4,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.9575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes4c5,122$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2429037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3004768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506827.9%19 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes15c3,556$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.21315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes21c3,241$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.6228940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes3c3,076$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.128818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes21c2,911$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.3149136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes21c2,719$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.033925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes21c2,236$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.531758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes15c2,122$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3523733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c1,914$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.051,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No79c1,869$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.421,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes9c1,800$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15612338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes17c1,765$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2326835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes17c1,749$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.984456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes8c1,501$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8715625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.995133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…76fabacked No79c1,398$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No74c1,393$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.215164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Yes6c1,381$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4310828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed No74c1,373$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.982161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c1,228$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.871,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes15c1,065$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes15c1,042$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.31963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes25c803.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes23c717.89$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.656412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes7c714.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Yes8c665.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No79c641$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.72,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847814.1%11 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No79c565$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6542962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes26c492.26$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.251,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes22c491.79$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3145746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No79c435.44$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.441643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes9c424.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7251945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes8c388$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.750643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes9c383.41$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.349535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d1…7618backed No79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.75785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+104.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No80c372.5$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.57959.5%47 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71b2…7a4bbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No73c365.37$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.651435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed No80c304.84$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No75c299.95$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9941654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf952…602fbacked Yes13c298.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7740%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes20c252.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.593,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511328.3%32 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6739…132cbacked Yes11c227.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa560…767dbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes9c197.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0748547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes10c191.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1576951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked No79c189.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.85977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No79c189.54$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.81,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes6c180.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.381,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02d3…5554backed Yes22c172.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384710.6%5 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ab…eefdbacked Yes22c169.36$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes22c139.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.692347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No76c130.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.866561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No78c128.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.225955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6927…21adbacked No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.584100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d77…bc86backed No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.584100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb353…022abacked No79c123.11$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Yes11c109.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124714.9%7 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked No79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.273850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed No79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.272254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5998…b5a8backed Yes14c100.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.116955.1%38 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2170%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4924535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a98…dc9cbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed No77c90.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.587467.6%50 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No74c88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.881,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes15c73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.956040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No76c64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3617951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eef…5275backed No78c51.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.291675%12 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick79cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Yes22c49.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.713327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked No74c47.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.37463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed No74c47.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.34259.5%25 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.49051.1%46 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.76762.7%42 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x083e…81a1backed No76c39.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.463063.3%19 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick77cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd770…9bdebacked No79c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No79c33.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No78c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.048166.7%54 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ced…54aebacked No77c30.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.032755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No78c29.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4517067.6%115 W · 55 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a0e…cdedbacked No76c26.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.431947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x968d…7537backed No77c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.982171.4%15 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No79c24.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0667548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46471.9%46 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No76c19.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7442462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed No80c18.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed No79c15.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No79c15.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1913856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked No80c15.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.06955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.