TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,994 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed No22c16,600$3,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,731.9399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No18c7,536$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.311,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Yes62c3,664$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.7814657.5%84 W · 62 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes31c3,072$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.7939435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No18c2,250$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.111,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c1…ab15backed Yes60c2,222$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.32785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+47.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes69c1,907$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.913952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No69c1,546$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.7212654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes70c1,376$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.9548344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes62c1,231$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.3438246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No24c1,071$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.8716437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c1,039$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.0470249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c1,036$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.6572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd0…3447backed No21c890.17$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-53.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No36c815.44$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.565450%27 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c694.94$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.723,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No24c665.84$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6787154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1658032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed No22c463$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.861338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes48c445.56$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.695954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes59c432.46$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.341,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No24c422.83$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4512551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No71c414.97$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.6322841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No33c369.41$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1319641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes61c294.34$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.799070%63 W · 27 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes31c293.59$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5873438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes31c274$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6532848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No17c272.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3171443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes51c262.17$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.537460.8%45 W · 29 L+12.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes28c256$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.21421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No17c255.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.620535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed Yes70c249.97$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes75c246.47$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.585440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No73c225.11$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.333268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No6c225.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6813228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No24c223$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9417244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No34c220.2$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.319540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes70c212.87$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.686341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No26c210$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.622042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No19c198.16$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed No55c181.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.67367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes66c160.61$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2529370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No13c151.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No53c144.29$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.472810.7%3 W · 25 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-73.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes51c138.07$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6519960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No69c131.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.269944.4%44 W · 55 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes36c130$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9320660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c121.54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bc…31fbbacked No70c114.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No37c107$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes31c103.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.233129%9 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482759.3%16 W · 11 L+6.8wins+0.25per pick34cpaid+61.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes61c97.34$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9625851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes61c92$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.885552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No26c83.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.59357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked No61c81.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No32c80.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.57341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes61c75.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7119852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No35c72.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5216159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes31c70.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6522…3a5abacked No19c65.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.631241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No69c62.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9917858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2a…14afbacked No36c61.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes27c61.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.612630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No19c57.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Yes60c56.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b1…59e6backed Yes75c54.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-80.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No27c51.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9844350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes29c49.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8615051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No35c47.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6880249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2078344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No32c44.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.082619.2%5 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-45.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes60c40.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9645140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed No39c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.42254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed No50c39.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+53%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No28c38.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No70c35.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.484757.4%27 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes62c32.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.512571.2%89 W · 36 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes77c30.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.071,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes61c30.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7623953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c30.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9480358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No69c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.716948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes74c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5412667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No72c27.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9510556.2%59 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1040…ac10backed Yes79c26.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.59887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b18…efaebacked No46c23.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.672060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes57c22.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6825652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes67c20.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6930735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Yes73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.133946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd2…ce8bbacked Yes75c14.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+169%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.